Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will be taking on their division rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field in a Sunday matinee. Fox Sports North will be televising the matchup and the game will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds
Sportsbooks have Cleveland (-135) as the favorite over Minnesota (+125). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to finish under 9 runs, then bookmakers are putting up -110 odds. Taking the over return -110 odds. This game currently has a runline of Twins +1.5 (-170) and Indians -1.5 (+150).
The Twins are 91-57 SU and are 81-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 17.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.6 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 86-63 SU and 80-67 ATS. The team’s gained 2.6 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS.
Cleveland games have an over/under record of 63-80-4 in 2019. The Twins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 74-67-5.
Jose Berrios is getting the start for Minnesota. The right-handed Berrios is 12-8 with a 3.63 ERA and 173 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 26 strikeouts and a 2.55 ERA against Cleveland this year (four starts).
The Indians will put the ball in the right hand of Shane Bieber (14-7, 3.17 ERA), who has 241 strikeouts and 38 walks this season as well as a 1.00 WHIP. Bieber is 2-0 with 29 strikeouts and a 3.22 ERA over three starts against Minnesota this year.
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.19 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.50 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.15, along with a K/9 of 9.42.
The Twins offense has slashed .269/.339/.494 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario. Polanco is hitting .301/.362/.495 with 22 home runs, 77 RBIs and 98 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .272 with 29 homers, 97 RBIs and 83 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.69 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 69 games against divisional foes, Indians starters have an ERA of 3.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.20.
Cleveland’s offense has put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .237/.335/.420 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana have led the Indians’ offense this year. Lindor is slashing .293/.344/.538 with 31 home runs, 70 RBIs, 92 runs and 21 steals, and Santana’s line sits at .282/.400/.531 with 34 homers, 88 RBIs and 101 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 21.8 units and are 62-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 54 of those games, as opposed to 55 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 3.5 units and are 51-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 36 of those games, as opposed to 59 which went under the total.
Twins at Indians Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in zero of Cleveland’s last seven games.
- Cleveland has posted 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.6 over its last five.
- Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 games.
- The Twins have a total OPS of .833 this season and an OPS of .819 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .761 overall and .759 versus righties.
