The Boston Red Sox are set to host the Minnesota Twins at Fenway Park. Fox Sports North is in line to broadcast this AL matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
The Red Sox are 74-63 straight up (SU) and 57-80 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 19.3 units for moneyline bettors and 30.9 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Twins are 85-52 SU and have gone 77-59 ATS. In total, the club has accumulated 17.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.4 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 79-55-3 in 2019. Minnesota has also been a good over bet with a total record of 73-58-5.
Randy Dobnak is the projected starter for Minnesota. Dobnak (0-0, 0.00 ERA) has racked up six strikeouts in eight innings so far. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the right hand of Rick Porcello (12-10, 5.42 ERA, 1.41 WHIP), who’s got 117 strikeouts and 42 walks. Porcello is 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.99, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.
Boston’s offense has put up 5.8 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .247/.335/.505 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led the Red Sox batters this year. Devers is slashing .321/.370/.577 with 28 home runs, 104 RBIs and 113 runs scored, and Bogaerts is batting .312 with 31 homers, 103 RBIs and 102 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.14 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.45 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.20, along with a WHIP of 1.28.
The Twins offense has slashed .273/.342/.502 on its way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 7.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario continue to lead Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is slashing .305/.368/.498 with 20 home runs, 69 RBIs and 91 runs scored, while Rosario (.281/.304/.499) is up to 27 homers, 92 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 19.7 units and are 58-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 54 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Twins vs. Red Sox Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Minnesota has tallied 18 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 24 XBH over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 25 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 18 over their last 10.
- Boston has recorded 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.2 over its last five.
- The Twins have won eight of their last nine games SU while the Red Sox have taken four of their last five.
