The Minnesota Timberwolves (9-8), 1.5-point underdogs, will travel to the AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs (6-12). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 27, 2019.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds
The Timberwolves will be looking for similar success after easily covering the 4.5-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks in their last matchup, 125-113. The Spurs, on the other hand, were beaten by the Los Angeles Lakers, 114-104, and were unable to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The Minnesota game went 1.5 points over the projected point total of 236.5, while the San Antonio game went 4.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5.
Minnesota played a flawless game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.311 (above their season average of 0.203) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.8 (above their season average of 23.1). Atlanta was 0.223 and 21.4, respectively, for those same stats. San Antonio, on the other hand, did an excellent job of making free throws (12-15; 80.0 percent). San Antonio’s LaMarcus Aldridge led the way, putting up 30 points and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Minnesota was led by Karl-Anthony Towns, who contributed 28 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists.
In their first matchup this year, Towns led the Timberwolves to a 129-114 victory. He notched a double-double with 28 points and 11 rebounds. Minnesota covered as a 2-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 243 points, which was over the projected point total of 229.5. The Timberwolves’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Spurs. Minnesota had a rate of 27.7, while San Antonio posted a mark of 21.3.
Timberwolves games have typically gone over the projected point total (58.8 percent). Minnesota heads into the contest with records of 9-8 straight up (SU) and 8-8-1 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Spurs also have a tendency to go over the projected point total (55.6 percent). Further, San Antonio is 6-12 SU and 3-14-1 ATS.
The offensive glass should be a huge edge for San Antonio in this meeting. The Spurs rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.0 percent), while Minnesota ranks 18th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.6 percent).
Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Timberwolves average 6.6 blocks per game, which ranks second in the league. The Spurs rank 13th in blocks allowed per game (4.7).
- Minnesota ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (39.5) while San Antonio ranks 28th (24.9).
- The Spurs rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.5) while the Timberwolves rank 26th (48.0).
- San Antonio ranks 12th in fast break points per game (13.9) while Minnesota ranks last (9.5).
- Minnesota ranks 13th in assists allowed per game (24.1) while San Antonio ranks 25th (25.9).
- The Timberwolves rank sixth in steals per game (8.7) while the Spurs rank last (6.0).
- The Spurs rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while the Timberwolves rank 15th (17.4).
- Minnesota averages 50.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. San Antonio ranks 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.9).
- San Antonio ranks fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.6) while Minnesota ranks 24th (14.4).
- Minnesota is 1-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
- When scoring over 100 points, the Timberwolves are 9-4 and the Spurs are 6-10.
- Minnesota is 6-2 ATS on the road, while San Antonio is 1-8 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Timberwolves’ 8 road games, while 5 of the Spurs’ 9 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Timberwolves are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Minnesota has 4 unders and 1 over, while San Antonio has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
- During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (7.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (6.6 below their season average).
- The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, up from 3.0 for the season.
