The Minnesota Timberwolves (10-9), 3-point underdogs, will travel to the American Airlines Center to challenge the Dallas Mavericks (14-6). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 230.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019.
Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds
In the Mavericks’ last matchup, they thoroughly outplayed the New Orleans Pelicans, 118-97, as 6-point underdogs. The Timberwolves, on the other hand, were beat by the Memphis Grizzlies, 115-107, and were not able to cover as 12-point underdogs. The Dallas game finished 7.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5, while the Minnesota game went 9 points under the projected point total of 231.
Dallas dominated every facet of the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.261 (above their season average of 0.223) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.540 (below their season average of 0.542). For those same stats, New Orleans was 0.106 and 0.463, respectively. Minnesota, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (30-35; 85.7 percent). Dallas’ Luka Doncic had a good outing, putting up 33 points, 18 rebounds and five assists. Minnesota, meanwhile, rallied around Karl-Anthony Towns, who had 21 points, 12 rebounds and five assists.
The Mavericks edged out the Timberwolves in this series last year, taking two out of three games. In the last game, Minnesota won 110-108. The Timberwolves’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Mavericks. Minnesota had a rate of 7.8, while Dallas posted a mark of 11.3. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Timberwolves’ 19 games, 10 have finished over the O/U total. Minnesota holds records of 10-9 straight up (SU) and 9-9-1 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is known to place the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as 12 of their 19 games have ended over the projected point total. Moreover, Dallas is 14-6 SU and 11-8 ATS.
Dallas figures to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Mavericks currently rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Timberwolves rank 12th in defensive efficiency.
Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Timberwolves rank 21st in points off turnovers per game (15.8) while the Mavericks rank 26th (14.9).
- Dallas ranks third in second chance points per game (15.2) while Minnesota ranks 25th in second chance points allowed per game (14.5).
- The Timberwolves rank eighth in steals per game (8.4) while the Mavericks rank 26th (6.7).
- Minnesota ranks 11th in fast break points allowed per game (12.8) while Dallas ranks 25th (15.3).
- Minnesota ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (39.4) while Dallas ranks 15th in three pointers allowed per game (33.6).
- The Timberwolves rank second in blocks per game (6.6) while the Mavericks rank 23rd (4.5).
- The Timberwolves average 49.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.5).
- Dallas ranks 14th in assists per game (24.4) while Minnesota ranks 16th in assists allowed per game (24.3).
- Dallas averages 47.9 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Minnesota ranks 26th in rebounds allowed per game (48.0).
- When allowing below 100 points, Dallas is 2-0 and Minnesota is 1-0.
- The Mavericks are 14-5 when they reach the century mark, while the Timberwolves are 10-5.
- Minnesota is 7-2 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 4-6 ATS at home.
- In 9 road games, the Timberwolves have 5 overs and 4 unders.
- In 10 home games, the Mavericks have 6 overs and 4 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Minnesota has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.2, down from 8.6 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (6.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (8.0 below their season average).
