Milwaukee Bucks vs. Detroit Pistons Free Prediction 12/04/19

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The Milwaukee Bucks (18-3) and the Detroit Pistons (8-13) battle at Little Caesars Arena. The Bucks will try to prolong their 12-game winning streak. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Pistons (2.5-point underdogs) defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 127-94, while the Bucks (17-point favorite) beat the New York Knicks 132-88. The Detroit game finished 4 points over the projected point total of 217, while the Milwaukee game went 2.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5.

The Bucks had an extraordinary effective field goal percentage of 0.651 (above their season average of 0.556) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.3 (above their season average of 21.5). Detroit, meanwhile, played a nearly perfect game. They had a fantastic effective field goal percentage of 0.638 (above their season average of 0.546) and a turnover percentage of 10.0 (better than their season average of 14.5). For those same stats, Cleveland recorded marks of 0.472 and 12.0, respectively. Detroit received a boost from Andre Drummond, who recorded 17 points, 14 rebounds and five steals. Meanwhile, Giannis Antetokounmpo had a good game for Milwaukee, recording 29 points and 15 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 104-90 victory. He recorded a double-double with 28 points and 10 rebounds. Milwaukee covered as a 13-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 194 points, which was well under the projected point total of 225.5. Milwaukee’s 0.107 free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Detroit, who had a mark of 0.066.

Of the Bucks’ 21 games, 11 have finished over the total. Milwaukee holds records of 18-3 straight up (SU) and 10-11 against the spread (ATS).

Games including the Pistons have typically gone over the total (55.0 percent). Moreover, Detroit is 8-13 SU and 7-11-2 ATS.

This matchup pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Detroit ranks third in effective field goal percentage (0.551) and Milwaukee is third in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.492). It will also be a matchup of opposite styles as the up-and-down Bucks rank fourth in possessions per game, while the more methodical Pistons rank 29th.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Detroit Pistons Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank eighth in assists per game (25.6) while the Pistons rank 20th in assists allowed per game (25.0).
  • Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (29.7) while Milwaukee ranks 27th (38.6).
  • The Bucks average 18.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Pistons rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.4).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points per game (19.5) while Detroit ranks 24th (11.8).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.3) while Detroit ranks 17th (13.2).
  • The Bucks rank second in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Pistons rank 26th (8.5).
  • The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (51.7) while the Pistons rank 24th (42.8).
  • Milwaukee ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Detroit ranks 14th (4.8).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.3) while Detroit ranks 24th (50.3).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Detroit is 4-0 and Milwaukee is 5-0.
  • The Pistons are 7-10 when they score over 100 points, while the Bucks are 18-3.
  • Milwaukee is 5-6 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 6-4 ATS at home.
  • The Bucks have 6 unders and 5 overs in 11 road games.
  • In 10 home games, the Pistons have 6 overs, 3 unders and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Milwaukee and Detroit are both 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 21.4, up from 12.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (5.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 98.4 points per game (9.6 below their season average).