The San Antonio Spurs (14-20), 7.5-point underdogs, will try to slow down the Milwaukee Bucks (32-5) at AT&T Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 229.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 6, 2020.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds
In their first matchup this year, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 127-118 win. He scored a game-high 32 points. The two teams combined for 245 points, which was well over the projected point total of 228.5, and Milwaukee was unable to cover as a 12-point favorite. Milwaukee’s effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over San Antonio. The Bucks had a rate of 0.592 while the Spurs posted a mark of 0.468.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Bucks games, with 19 overs compared to 18 unders. Milwaukee heads into the game with records of 32-5 straight up (SU) and 21-16 against the spread (ATS).
Games including the Spurs have typically finished over the total (58.8 percent). Moreover, San Antonio owns records of 14-20 SU and 11-21-2 ATS.
The Bucks’ Brook Lopez has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 12 points,3.0 blocks per game. Meanwhile, LaMarcus Aldridge has averaged 24 points,10.4 rebounds,2.6 blocks during that same time frame for the Spurs.
Second-chance points might be few and far between for San Antonio in this matchup. The Spurs currently rank 25th in offensive rebounding percentage (21.3 percent), while Milwaukee ranks second in defensive rebounding percentage (81.0 percent). Also, the second-ranked offense of the Bucks (offensive efficiency of 112.8) will attempt to take advantage of the 21st-ranked defense of the Spurs (defensive efficiency of 110.1).
Milwaukee Bucks at San Antonio Spurs Free Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank 12th in steals per game (7.8) while the Spurs rank 25th (6.7).
- Milwaukee ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (38.9) while San Antonio ranks last (27.1).
- The Bucks average 18.6 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the league. The Spurs rank 20th in fast break points allowed per game (14.0).
- Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.9) while San Antonio ranks 18th in rebounds allowed per game (46.1).
- Milwaukee ranks 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.6) while San Antonio ranks 26th (15.1).
- The Bucks rank eighth in second chance points per game (13.9) while the Spurs rank 28th (11.7).
- The Bucks average 26.0 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Spurs rank 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.1).
- Milwaukee averages 6.5 blocks per game, which ranks second in the league. San Antonio ranks 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.7).
- Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (51.5) while San Antonio ranks 22nd (44.6).
- San Antonio is 1-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Milwaukee is 8-0.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Spurs are 14-16 and the Bucks are 32-5.
- Milwaukee is 10-7 ATS on the road, while San Antonio is 5-14 ATS at home.
- The Bucks have 9 overs and 8 unders in 17 road games.
- The Spurs have 11 overs, 7 unders and 1 push in 19 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Milwaukee and San Antonio are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Bucks have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Spurs have 3 overs and 2 unders
- The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.8, up from 12.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 114.4 points per game (1.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (3.1 below their season average).
