The Milwaukee Bucks (44-7), the NBA’s top scoring team and 8-point favorites, will meet the Orlando Magic (22-30) at Amway Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218 points and it will air on Fox SportsNet Florida at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 8, 2020.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic ATS Odds
The last time the Bucks played, they covered the 10.5-point spread against the Philadelphia 76ers, 112-101. The Magic, on the other hand, were beaten by the New York Knicks, 105-103, and were not able to cover as 4-point underdogs. The Milwaukee game went 10 points under the projected point total of 223, while the Orlando game hit the projected point total of 208.
Milwaukee dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.128 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.532 (below their season average of 0.559). For those same stats, Philadelphia recorded marks of 0.081 and 0.470, respectively. Orlando, meanwhile, did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (26-30; 86.7 percent). Nikola Vucevic led the way for Orlando, contributing 25 points and eight rebounds. Giannis Antetokounmpo, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Milwaukee with 36 points, 20 rebounds and six assists.
In their three contests this season, the Bucks have won all three. The two teams combined to put up 211 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 216.5. Milwaukee won 111-100, covering as a 6-point favorite. Milwaukee out-rebounded Orlando. The Bucks had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. five), defensive rebounds (44 vs. 29) and total rebounds (58 vs. 34). Vucevic was a standout player in the game, producing 21 points and eight rebounds.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Bucks games, with 26 unders compared to 25 overs. Milwaukee heads into the contest with records of 44-7 straight up (SU) and 29-22 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Magic are involved, as 29 of their 51 games have ended under the total. Moreover, Orlando owns records of 22-30 SU and 22-26-4 ATS.
The Bucks’ Khris Middleton has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 27 points,7.4 rebounds,6.6 assists per game. Meanwhile, Aaron Gordon has averaged 17 points,8.8 rebounds,1.4 steals during that same time frame for the Magic.
The inefficient offense of Orlando will square off against the elite defense of Milwaukee. The Magic currently rank 27th in offensive efficiency, while the Bucks are first in defensive efficiency. The Bucks figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. This contest should be a showdown of conflicting paces. The up-tempo Bucks rank first in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Magic rank 29th.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Magic rank first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while the Bucks rank ninth (15.8).
- Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (51.4) while Orlando ranks 26th (44.4).
- The Bucks rank fourth in assists per game (26.3) while the Magic rank 24th (22.7).
- Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.9) while Orlando ranks 19th (44.5).
- Milwaukee ranks second in blocks per game (6.4) while Orlando ranks 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.7).
- The Magic rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (32.5) while the Bucks rank last (39.0).
- The Magic rank fifth in steals per game (8.4) while the Bucks rank 19th (7.5).
- Milwaukee is second in the league with 11.5 second chance points allowed per game while Orlando is third with 11.7 second chance points allowed per game.
- Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points per game (19.2) while Orlando ranks 22nd (11.6).
- In games where they allow under 100 points, Milwaukee is 11-0 and Orlando is 12-4.
- The Magic are 18-12 when they reach the century mark, while the Bucks are 44-7.
- Orlando is 9-14-2 ATS at home, while Milwaukee is 14-10 ATS on the road.
- The Bucks have 13 unders and 11 overs in 24 road games.
- Of the Magic’s 25 home games, they have 17 unders and 8 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bucks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Magic are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Orlando has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 125.4 points per game (5.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (7.5 above their season average).
- The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.0, up from 1.5 for the season.
