The NBA’s top scoring team will be on the road at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, when the Milwaukee Bucks (46-7) battle with the Indiana Pacers (31-23). The game will air on ESPN at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 12, 2020.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Odds
The Bucks were victorious over the Sacramento Kings in their last outing, 123-111, covering as 10-point favorites. The Pacers, meanwhile, were defeated by the Brooklyn Nets, 106-105, and were not able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The Milwaukee game finished 4.5 points over the projected point total of 229.5, while the Indiana game went 6.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5.
The Bucks made 19 of their 23 free throws (82.6 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.542 vs. 0.485). Indiana, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 5.8 (better than their season average of 11.3). Domantas Sabonis played an enormous role in the victory for Indiana with 23 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds to notch his third triple-double this year. Meanwhile, Milwaukee was lifted by Khris Middleton, who had 28 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists.
In their two matchups this year, the Bucks have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 206 points, which was under the projected point total of 220. Milwaukee won 117-89, covering as a 9-point favorite. Making free throws was one of Milwaukee’s biggest strengths. They were 14-17 (82.4 percent), while the Pacers were just 3-5 (60.0 percent). In the loss, Sabonis recorded a double-double with 19 points and 18 rebounds.
A little over half of the Bucks’ games have finished under the projected point total. Milwaukee comes into the game with records of 46-7 straight up (SU) and 31-22 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Milwaukee, Pacers games have finished over the projected point total 53.7 percent of the time. Moreover, Indiana is 31-23 SU and 27-25-2 ATS.
Indiana could put on a ball-control clinic in this showdown. Indiana ranks fifth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while Milwaukee forces the sixth-fewest turnovers (12.7 percent). It will also be a tale of two styles as the up-tempo Bucks rank first in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Pacers rank 27th.
Bucks vs. Pacers Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers average 26.2 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Bucks rank 11th in assists allowed per game (23.9).
- Milwaukee ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (38.5) while Indiana ranks last (27.8).
- The Bucks rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while the Pacers rank 18th (13.4).
- Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.5) while Indiana ranks 15th (47.9).
- Indiana ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.6) while Milwaukee ranks 11th (7.3).
- The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (52.1) while the Pacers rank 25th (42.5).
- The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (6.4) while the Pacers rank 13th (5.0).
- Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points per game (19.0) while Indiana ranks 18th (12.4).
- Milwaukee is 12-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Indiana is 9-2.
- The Bucks are 46-7 when they reach 100 points, while the Pacers are 31-15.
- Milwaukee is 15-10 ATS on the road, while Indiana is 12-14-2 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 14 of the Bucks’ 25 road games, while 15 of the Pacers’ 28 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bucks are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Indiana has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 119.0 points per game (0.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.6 points per game (2.7 below their season average).
- The Pacers have been outscored by an average of 5.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Indiana has defeated opponents by an average of 2.1 points.
