Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons Free Prediction 04/22/19

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The Milwaukee Bucks (3-0), 12-point favorites, will travel to Little Caesars Arena to clash with the Detroit Pistons (0-3) in game four of the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The Bucks advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals with a win. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 218.5 points and it will air on TNT at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, April 22, 2019.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Odds

In game three, Lopez led the Bucks to a 119-103 victory. He put up 19 points, seven rebounds and five blocks. Milwaukee covered as a 9-point favorite and the two teams combined for 222 points, which was over the projected point total of 216.5. One of Milwaukee’s biggest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 21-24 (87.5 percent), while the Pistons were 18-24 (75.0 percent).

Of the Bucks’ 85 games, 43 have finished over the total. Milwaukee comes into the game with records of 63-22 straight up (SU) and 50-32-3 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Milwaukee, games involving the Pistons have finished under the O/U total 51.8 percent of the time. Additionally, Detroit is 41-44 SU and 42-42-1 ATS.

The ineffective offense of Detroit (21st in the league with an offensive efficiency of 106.6) will battle against the stingy defense of Milwaukee (first in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 103.0). The Bucks figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. Opposite tempos will be on display in this showdown. The quick-paced Bucks rank fifth in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Pistons rank 26th.

Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons Betting Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Pistons rank 12th (15.9).
  • Detroit ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.1) while Milwaukee ranks last (36.2).
  • The Bucks rank sixth in assists per game (26.2) while the Pistons rank 26th (22.5).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (53.3) while Detroit ranks 22nd (44.6).
  • Detroit ranks 13th in second chance points per game (13.2) while Milwaukee ranks 26th (11.7).
  • The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (6.0) while the Pistons rank 25th (4.1).
  • The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (49.8) while the Pistons rank 18th (45.0).
  • Milwaukee is second in the league with 6.8 steals allowed per game while Detroit is fourth with 6.9 steals allowed per game.
  • Milwaukee ranks sixth in fast break points per game (17.8) while Detroit ranks 29th (10.0).
  • Milwaukee is 22-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Detroit is 16-3.
  • The Pistons are 37-26 when they reach 100 points, while the Bucks are 62-18.
  • Detroit is 21-20-1 ATS at home, while Milwaukee is 25-15-2 ATS on the road.
  • In 42 road games, the Bucks have 21 overs and 21 unders.
  • The Pistons have 22 overs and 20 unders in 42 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bucks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Detroit has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.8, up from 9.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 100.6 points per game (6.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (0.7 above their season average).