Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The streaking Washington Nationals are seeking their sixth consecutive win as they play host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Nationals Park. This NL showdown will be nationally broadcasted on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals Odds

The Nationals are 66-55 straight up (SU) and 67-53 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Brewers have gone 63-59 SU this year and are 51-70 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 24.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Washington games have had an over/under record of 55-59-6 in 2019. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-62-4.

The right-handed Jordan Lyles will get the nod for Milwaukee. Lyles is 7-8 with a 4.62 ERA and 104 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Nationals are turning to Anibal Sanchez (7-6, 3.75 ERA). Sanchez has 99 strikeouts and 42 walks, along with a 1.33 WHIP. Sanchez only made one start against the Brewers in 2018 (1-0, 1.35 ERA and eight strikeouts across 6.2 innings).

As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.56, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 5.98 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Washington offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .290/.365/.512 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that span.

Third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton have led the Nationals’ batters this year. Rendon is hitting .320/.400/.608 with 26 home runs, 94 RBIs and 86 runs scored, while Eaton is batting .283 with eight homers, 32 RBIs, 77 runs and 13 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.65 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.48 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.56, along with a K-per-9 of 9.96.

The Brewers offense has slashed .248/.329/.440 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is hitting .325/.416/.682 with 39 home runs, 85 RBIs, 83 runs and 23 steals. Moustakas (.258/.325/.507) is up to 27 homers, 63 RBIs and 67 runs scored.

The Brewers have lost 2.7 units and are 36-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 0.8 units and are 52-38 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, compared to 45 that went under.

Brewers vs. Nationals Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 15 over their last 10.
  • The Brewers have a total OPS of .770 this season and an OPS of .782 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .777 overall and .761 against righties.
  • Washington has recorded 24 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26 over its last five.