The streaking Washington Nationals are seeking their fifth consecutive victory as they play host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Nationals Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast this NL showdown and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals Odds
Vegas has listed Washington (-150) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+140). If you think this game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -110 odds. Playing the over will return -110 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Brewers +1.5 runs (-155) and Nationals -1.5 runs (+135).
The Brewers are 63-58 SU and are 51-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 65-55 SU and 67-53 ATS. They’ve lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 10.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 55-59-6 in 2019. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-62-4.
The right-handed Adrian Houser is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Houser is 5-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 75 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals are putting the ball in the left hand of Patrick Corbin (9-5, 3.41 ERA, 1.15 WHIP), who’s got 172 strikeouts and 45 walks. Corbin hasn’t faced the Brewers yet this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 6.00 ERA and eight strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.57 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.03 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Washington hitters have put up 5.1 runs per contest, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .308/.368/.544 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton have led the Nationals’ hitters this year. Rendon is slashing .318/.400/.604 with 26 home runs, 92 RBIs and 86 runs scored, while Eaton is batting .284 with eight homers, 32 RBIs, 77 runs and 13 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.68 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.52 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.55, along with a K/9 of 9.98.
Brewers hitters have slashed .248/.329/.440 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas, who have combined to belt 66 home runs. Yelich is hitting .329/.420/.690 with 39 home runs, 85 RBIs, 83 runs and 23 steals. Moustakas (.258/.326/.509) is up to 27 homers, 63 RBIs and 67 runs scored.
The Brewers have lost 3.5 units and are 15-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 24 that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 0.8 units and are 52-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, compared to 45 which went under the total.
Brewers at Nationals MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 17 over their last 10.
- The Brewers have an OPS of .770 this season, including an OPS of .749 against left-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .779 overall and .817 against southpaws.
- Milwaukee has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.
