Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers will take the field against their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in a Wednesday night game. The action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on ATPT, FSWI and ESPN.
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Sportsbooks have Milwaukee (-125) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+115). You can play game’s total with current odds sitting at -120 for over 9.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 9.5. There’s a runline of Brewers -1.5 (+120) and Pirates +1.5 (-140) for this matchup.
The Brewers are 59-56 SU and are 50-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 48-65 SU and 56-57 ATS. They’ve lost 9.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.4 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have a 64-43-6 over/under record in 2019. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 51-60-4.
The southpaw Drew Pomeranz is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Pomeranz is 2-9 with a 5.54 ERA and 97 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the right hand of Trevor Williams (4-4, 4.85 ERA, 1.33 WHIP), who has 77 punchouts and 23 walks. Williams has yet to face the Brewers this year, but he made three starts against them in 2018, compiling a perfect 3-0 record with a 0.00 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.74 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.61, along with a K/9 of 10.04.
Brewers hitters have slashed .247/.328/.442 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas have paced Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is hitting .336/.428/.705 with 39 home runs, 84 RBIs, 82 runs and 23 steals, while Moustakas (.265/.334/.525) is up to 27 homers, 62 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.21, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.77 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 51 games against divisional foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.39 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.75.
The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .250/.326/.423 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell have led the Pirates’ batters this year. Marte is slashing .284/.325/.503 with 20 home runs, 68 RBIs, 78 runs and 17 stolen bases, while Bell’s line sits at .279/.362/.573 with 27 homers, 89 RBIs and 76 runs.
The Brewers have lost 5.7 units and are 35-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 5.0 units and are 12-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to eight which went under the total.
Brewers vs. Pirates Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in only two of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have lost five of their last six games SU.
- Pittsburgh has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.8 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
- The Brewers have a team OPS of .770 this season and an OPS of .778 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .752 overall and .774 against righties.
