Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on their division rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in a Tuesday showdown. The action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on ATPT and FSWI.
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Las Vegas has Milwaukee (-140) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+130). The total currently stands at 9.5 runs and gamblers can play the over for -115 or the under for -105. There’s a runline of Brewers -1.5 (+105) and Pirates +1.5 (-125) for this matchup.
The Brewers have gone 58-56 SU this year and are 49-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.4 units for moneyline bettors and 21.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 48-64 SU and 55-56 ATS. The team’s lost 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have had an over/under record of 63-42-6 in 2019. Brewers games have gone under 59 times, gone over 50 times and pushed on four instances.
Chase Anderson will get the start for Milwaukee. The right-handed Anderson is 5-2 with a 3.73 ERA and 90 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (three starts).
The Pirates will be sending lefty Steven Brault (3-1, 4.15 ERA) to the mound. Brault has 53 strikeouts and 32 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.57. Brault is 0-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.40 ERA across three starts against Milwaukee this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.75 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.46 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.62, along with a WHIP of 1.40 and a K-per-9 of 10.09.
The Brewers offense has slashed .248/.328/.443 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Milwaukee’s offense has been sparked by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas, who’ve collectively launched 66 home runs. Yelich is hitting .336/.428/.705 with 39 home runs, 84 RBIs, 82 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Moustakas is hitting .267 with 27 homers, 62 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 5.23, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.79 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 50 divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.44 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.80.
Pittsburgh’s hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .229/.308/.373 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell. Marte is slashing .285/.326/.506 with 20 home runs, 68 RBIs, 77 runs and 17 steals, while Bell’s line sits at .279/.362/.573 with 27 homers, 89 RBIs and 76 runs.
The Brewers have lost 2.8 units and are 15-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 2.2 units and are 43-41 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 45 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under.
Brewers at Pirates Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in just two of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have dropped four of their last five games SU.
- Pittsburgh has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
- The Brewers have a team OPS of .771 this season and an OPS of .767 against left-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .752 overall and .646 against lefties.
