The Milwaukee Brewers are making a road trip to Target Field to do battle against the Minnesota Twins. This interleague matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the game.
Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Minnesota (-115) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+105). The total sits at 10 runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Runline odds stand at -200 for picking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +170 for the Twins -1.5.
The Twins are 36-16 straight up (SU) and 30-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 19.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.0 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Brewers are 30-24 SU and have gone 26-27 against the spread. Overall, the team’s accumulated 4.0 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 3.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Twins games have an over/under record of 27-23-1 so far in 2019. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 21-31-1.
Gio Gonzalez will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. The left-handed Gonzalez is 2-1 with a 2.39 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Michael Pineda (4-3, 5.43 ERA, 1.30 WHIP), who has 44 strikeouts and 11 walks. Pineda did not pitch in the majors in 2018.
Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.50, a WHIP of 1.17 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters are putting up 6.1 runs per contest, including 9.3 per game over its last 10 games and 10.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .309/.397/.669 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario have paced the Twins’ hitters this year. Polanco is hitting .335/.408/.594 with nine home runs, 26 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .285/.316/.565 with 16 homers, 45 RBIs and 37 runs.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.34 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.48 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.36, along with a WHIP of 1.36.
The Brewers offense has slashed .249/.333/.439 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .325/.436/.740 with 21 home runs, 43 RBIs, 42 runs and 10 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .261/.319/.393 with four homers, 19 RBIs, 33 runs and five stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 2.4 units and are 17-21 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 1.0 units and are 5-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to three that’ve cashed the under.
Brewers vs. Twins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have a total OPS of .772 this season and an OPS of .772 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS sits at .863 overall and .859 versus righties.
- The Twins have won 11 of their last 12 games SU.
- Minnesota has recorded 32.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 32.0 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
