Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers will be taking the field against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park in a Thursday day game. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be airing this NL matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins Odds
Las Vegas has Miami (+120) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-130). You can play game’s total with current odds posted at -125 for over 8 runs and +105 for under 8. This game currently has a runline of Brewers -1.5 (+115) and Marlins +1.5 (-135).
The Brewers have gone 77-68 SU this year and are 65-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.6 units for moneyline bettors and 20.4 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 51-94 SU and 72-72 ATS. The team has lost 14.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.8 units ATS.
Miami games have a 68-65-11 over/under record in 2019. Milwaukee has been a good under bet with a total record of 62-77-5.
Southpaw Gio Gonzalez is getting the start for the visiting Brewers. Gonzalez (2-2, 3.98 ERA) has racked up 63 punchouts in 72.1 innings so far. This will be his first start against Miami this year. He made three starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record with a 5.94 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the left hand of Caleb Smith (8-9, 4.11 ERA, 1.13 WHIP), who’s got 156 strikeouts and 49 walks this season. Smith is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.63 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.35 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.55, along with a WHIP of 1.38.
The Brewers offense has slashed .249/.332/.441 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who’ve collectively belted 52 home runs. Yelich is slashing .329/.429/.671 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 100 runs and 30 stolen bases, while Cain (.252/.320/.352) has produced eight homers, 42 RBIs, 68 runs and 16 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Miami’s pitchers have yielded 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.13 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .254/.354/.379 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ batters this year. Castro is slashing .268/.298/.423 with 19 home runs, 78 RBIs and 59 runs scored, and Anderson’s line sits at .261/.342/.468 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs.
Brewers at Marlins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Milwaukee has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six games SU.
- Milwaukee fielders have five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 11 errors for Miami over its last 10.
- The Brewers have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.
- The Brewers have a team OPS of .773 this season, including an OPS of .774 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .671 overall and .692 against southpaws.
