The Milwaukee Brewers are traveling south to Marlins Park to play the Miami Marlins. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising this NL showdown and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Miami (+150) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-160). If you think this game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -110 odds. Taking the over will give you -110 odds. Runline odds stand at -110 for picking the Brewers -1.5 runs and -110 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Brewers have gone 74-68 SU this year and are 63-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.6 units for moneyline bettors and 21.8 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 51-91 SU and 70-71 ATS. The team’s lost 13.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.8 units ATS.
Miami games have an over/under record of 66-64-11 in 2019. Milwaukee has been a great under bet with a total record of 60-76-5.
The right-handed Jordan Lyles is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Lyles (10-8, 4.39 ERA) has racked up 124 strikeouts in 121 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and seven strikeouts over seven innings).
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of righty Robert Dugger (0-1, 4.00 ERA), who has 12 punchouts and seven walks, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Dugger did not pitch in the majors in 2018.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.51 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Miami hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .287/.367/.425 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ offense this year. Castro is slashing .271/.297/.422 with 18 home runs, 76 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Anderson’s line is .261/.342/.468 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.64 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.40 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.58, along with a K/9 of 9.90.
The Brewers offense has slashed .249/.332/.440 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who’ve collectively belted 52 home runs. Yelich is slashing .330/.429/.674 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 99 runs and 30 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .251/.321/.351 with eight homers, 41 RBIs, 68 runs and 16 stolen bases.
The Brewers have lost 0.6 units and are 45-51 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 11.2 units and are 50-55 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, compared to 51 that went under the total.
Brewers vs. Marlins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in just two of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have a total OPS of .772 this season and an OPS of .776 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .670 overall and .654 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.8 over its last five.
- Both teams have hit 13 home runs over their last 10 outings.
