The Cincinnati Reds will play host to their division nemesis Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will be airing the action.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Milwaukee (receiving -130) is favored over Cincinnati (+120) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds sit at +115 for taking the Brewers -1.5 runs and -135 for the Reds +1.5.
The Brewers have gone 87-70 SU this year and are 73-83 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 6.1 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 16.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 73-84 SU and 83-73 ATS. The team’s lost 8.3 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 58-89-9 in 2019. Brewers games have gone under 84 times, gone over 67 times and pushed on five instances.
Right-hander Jordan Lyles will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. Lyles is 11-8 with a 4.10 ERA and 140 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year (two starts).
The Reds are turning to Tyler Mahle (2-11, 4.93 ERA). Mahle has 123 strikeouts and 31 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.28. Mahle is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.03, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 71 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 4.13 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.21.
The Cincinnati hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .237/.306/.337 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ offense has been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is hitting .270/.352/.571 with 48 home runs, 102 RBIs and 86 runs scored, and Iglesias is hitting .284 with 11 homers, 55 RBIs and 60 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.49 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.42 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.32, along with a K-per-9 of 10.19.
The Brewers offense has slashed .247/.331/.438 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is hitting .329/.429/.671 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 100 runs and 30 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .252/.318/.358 with 10 homers, 47 RBIs, 73 runs and 18 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 7.1 units and are 52-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 51 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 1.5 units and are 63-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 44 of those games, compared to 67 which went under the total.
Brewers vs. Reds MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Milwaukee has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five games. Cincinnati has nine XBH over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 10 over their last 10.
- The Brewers have a total OPS of .769 this season and an OPS of .764 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .737 overall and .728 against righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 15.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.4 over its last five.
- The Brewers have won nine of their last 10 games SU while the Reds have dropped three of their last four.
