The Cincinnati Reds will play host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park. The game gets underway 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will showcase the matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (+105) is stepping into this matchup as an underdog to Milwaukee (-115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now sit at +105 for the under and -125 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Brewers -1.5 runs (+130) and Reds +1.5 runs (-150).
The Brewers are 46-41 SU and are 40-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 9.4 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 40-44 SU and 46-37 ATS. They’ve lost 2.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.9 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Reds games have had an over/under record of 29-51-3 so far in 2019. The Brewers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 37-46-3.
The right-handed Brandon Woodruff is the projected starter for the visiting Brewers. Woodruff is 10-2 with a 3.79 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are turning to righty Luis Castillo (7-3, 2.47 ERA), who has 115 punchouts and 52 walks, along with a 1.15 WHIP. Castillo is 0-2 with 17 strikeouts and a 6.08 ERA over three starts against Milwaukee this year.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.64 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.78 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 38 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 3.90 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.70.
The Cincinnati hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .257/.314/.415 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ hitters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto. Suarez is slashing .254/.331/.498 with 20 home runs, 54 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .271 with eight homers, 22 RBIs and 44 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.86 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.73 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.17, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K/9 of 9.89.
Brewers hitters have slashed .246/.329/.444 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas, who have combined to launch 55 home runs. Yelich is slashing .328/.425/.713 with 31 home runs, 67 RBIs, 66 runs and 18 steals, while Moustakas (.269/.339/.562) is up to 24 homers, 52 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 2.8 units and are 29-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 2.4 units and are 32-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 37 that went under.
Brewers at Reds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Milwaukee has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cincinnati has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Brewers have an OPS of .773 this season and an OPS of .774 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .721 overall and .700 against righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
