The Chicago Cubs are set to host their division nemesis Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field. The matchup starts at 8:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on either NSC+ or FSWI.
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Brewers have gone 16-9 SU this year and are 14-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 3.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 11-10 SU and 11-9 ATS. They’ve lost 3.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.2 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Cubs games have had an over/under record of 11-9 so far in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 10-14.
The right-handed Chase Anderson will get the start for the visiting Brewers. Anderson is 2-1 with a 3.25 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Chicago this year (four starts).
The Cubs will turn to righty Kyle Hendricks (1-1, 4.09 ERA), who has 19 strikeouts and seven walks to his name as well as a 1.36 WHIP. Hendricks is 0-0 with a 7.20 ERA over one starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.98 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.83 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 10 divisional games, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.07 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.41.
The Chicago offense has produced 5.8 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .300/.361/.489 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Cubs’ hitters have been led by second baseman Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant. Baez is hitting .309/.371/.728 with seven home runs, 24 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Bryant is hitting .319 with 22 hits, 11 RBIs and 12 runs.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.87 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 6.84 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.47, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
Brewers hitters have slashed .247/.320/.400 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been powered by third baseman Travis Shaw and outfielder Lorenzo Cain. Shaw is hitting .286/.381/.538 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Cain (.298/.400/.476) has produced three homers, eight RBIs, 16 runs and five stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 5.5 units and are 10-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in seven of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 1.1 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in nine of those games, as opposed to five that’ve cashed the under.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The Brewers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- Milwaukee has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
