The Milwaukee Brewers will head south to take on their divisional rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. Fox Sports Midwest will broadcast the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Oddsmakers have listed St. Louis (-120) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+110). If you think this game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -120 odds. Taking the over will return even money (+100). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Brewers +1.5 runs (-190) and Cardinals -1.5 runs (+165).
The Brewers are 78-68 SU and have gone 66-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 19.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 82-64 SU and 76-69 ATS. The team’s gained 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Cardinals games have an over/under record of 57-77-11 in 2019. Brewers games have gone under 77 times, gone over 63 times and pushed on five instances.
Adrian Houser is getting the nod for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Houser is 6-5 with a 3.59 ERA and 99 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 4.40 ERA against St. Louis this year (three starts).
The Cardinals are handing the ball to righty Adam Wainwright (11-9, 4.16 ERA), who has 134 punchouts and 58 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.40. Wainwright is 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA across three starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, St. Louis’ pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.90, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 66 games against NL Central opponents, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 4.09 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.13.
St. Louis’ hitters have produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .231/.333/.414 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Cardinals’ hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and second baseman Kolten Wong. Goldschmidt is hitting .261/.344/.466 with 29 home runs, 82 RBIs and 85 runs scored, and Wong’s line sits at .283/.362/.429 with 11 homers, 57 RBIs, 59 runs and 22 steals.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.63 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.51, along with a K-per-9 of 10.03.
Brewers hitters have slashed .248/.331/.440 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who have combined to swat 52 home runs. Yelich is slashing .329/.429/.671 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 100 runs and 30 steals, while Cain is hitting .252/.320/.351 with eight homers, 42 RBIs, 69 runs and 16 steals.
The Brewers have gained 2.4 units and are 47-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 48 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 5.5 units and are 63-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 42 of those games, compared to 67 that’ve gone under.
Brewers vs. Cardinals MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Both teams have tallied 19 extra-base hits over their last five games.
- The Brewers have an OPS of .772 this season and an OPS of .774 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .737 overall and .733 against righties.
- Milwaukee has posted 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 12 over their last 10.
