The St. Louis Cardinals will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Busch Stadium. Fox Sports Midwest will be airing the matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Milwaukee (+120) as the underdog to St. Louis (-130). If you think the game’s total will go under 9 runs, Vegas is currently offering -115 odds. Picking the over will return -105 odds. The game’s runline odds sit at -175 for picking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +155 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 64-60 SU and have gone 53-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 65-57 SU and 63-58 ATS. They’ve lost 4.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.7 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
St. Louis games have an over/under record of 47-65-9 in 2019. The Brewers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 56-63-4.
The right-handed Zach Davies is the probable starter for Milwaukee. Davies is 8-5 with a 3.74 ERA and 78 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against St. Louis this year.
The Cardinals will put the ball in the right hand of Dakota Hudson (11-6, 3.82 ERA), who has 97 strikeouts and 59 walks as well as a 1.55 WHIP. Hudson is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 10.13 ERA over two starts against Milwaukee this year.
St. Louis’ pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.18, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.75 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 53 divisional games, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 4.43 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.10.
St. Louis’ hitters have put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .246/.316/.417 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong have led the Cardinals’ hitters this year. Goldschmidt is slashing .260/.336/.477 with 28 home runs, 68 RBIs and 74 runs scored, and DeJong is hitting .246 with 21 homers, 56 RBIs and 77 runs.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.82 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.46 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.66, along with a WHIP of 1.40.
The Brewers offense has slashed .251/.332/.447 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .335/.424/.698 with 41 home runs, 89 RBIs, 87 runs and 24 stolen bases, while Moustakas (.265/.331/.530) is up to 30 homers, 71 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
The Brewers have lost 1.6 units and are 37-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 0.4 units and are 53-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 36 of those games, compared to 55 that went under.
Brewers at Cardinals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of St. Louis’ last seven games.
- The Brewers have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
- The Brewers have a total OPS of .779 this season and an OPS of .788 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .723 overall and .720 against righties.
- St. Louis has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.
