The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to square off against the Milwaukee Brewers at PNC Park. The matchup starts at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on either ATPT or FSWI.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (-115) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+105). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +130 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -150 for the Pirates +1.5.
The Pirates are 55-55 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 48-63 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.8 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Brewers have gone 57-56 SU this year and are 49-63 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 8.4 units for moneyline bettors and 19.4 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Pirates games have an over/under record of 62-42-6 in 2019. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 49-59-4.
The right-handed Jordan Lyles is getting the nod for the visiting Brewers. Lyles is 6-7 with a 5.05 ERA and 94 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 4.22 ERA and 10 strikeouts over 10.2 innings).
The Pirates are turning to Dario Agrazal (2-2, 3.65 ERA). Agrazal has 18 punchouts and 10 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.19. Agrazal is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 5.19 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.79 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 49 games against NL Central opponents, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.36 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.80.
The Pittsburgh hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .249/.328/.396 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell have led the Pirates’ hitters this year. Marte is slashing .286/.327/.505 with 20 home runs, 67 RBIs, 77 runs and 17 stolen bases, while Bell is batting .282 with 27 homers, 89 RBIs and 75 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.78 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.52 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.59, along with a K/9 of 10.06.
The Brewers offense has slashed .247/.328/.442 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is hitting .330/.424/.688 with 37 home runs, 82 RBIs, 80 runs and 23 steals, while Moustakas is slashing .268/.336/.525 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 62 runs scored.
The Brewers have lost 5.7 units and are 34-43 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 1.2 units and are 43-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 44 of those games, as opposed to 34 which went under the total.
Brewers vs. Pirates Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in only one of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit 13 over their last 10.
- The Brewers have a total OPS of .769 this season and an OPS of .778 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .751 overall and .774 versus righties.
- Pittsburgh has posted 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
- The Brewers have lost six of their last seven games SU while the Pirates have lost three of their last four.
