The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds in a Wednesday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio is in line to broadcast the matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (receiving -135 odds) is favored against Milwaukee and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 10.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +150 for the Reds -1.5 runs.
The Reds are 45-37 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 39-44 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 3.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.8 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 46-40 SU and have gone 40-45 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 0.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 29-50-3 thus far in 2019. The Brewers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 37-45-3.
Jhoulys Chacin will get the start for Milwaukee. The right-handed Chacin (3-8, 5.60 ERA) has racked up 60 punchouts in 72.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 6.30 ERA against Cincinnati this year (two starts).
The Reds are sending righty Sonny Gray (4-5, 3.94 ERA) to the mound. Gray has 91 strikeouts and 32 walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.24. Gray is 1-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 3.48 ERA across two starts against Milwaukee this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.70, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.79 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 37 games against divisional foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 4.05 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.74.
Cincinnati’s offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .273/.346/.436 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Suarez is hitting .254/.332/.498 with 20 home runs, 54 RBIs and 41 runs scored, and Votto’s line is .270/.363/.418 with eight homers, 22 RBIs and 43 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.89 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.69 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.17, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K/9 of 9.92.
The Brewers offense has slashed .247/.330/.448 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .328/.425/.713 with 31 home runs, 67 RBIs, 66 runs and 18 steals, while Moustakas (.273/.343/.569) is up to 24 homers, 52 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 3.9 units and are 29-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, as opposed to 29 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 3.4 units and are 31-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 36 that went under.
Brewers vs. Reds Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have an OPS of .778 this season and an OPS of .781 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .721 overall and .700 against righties.
- Cincinnati has recorded 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.8 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
