The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds in a Thursday night game. Fox Sports Ohio will broadcast the action and the first pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
The Brewers have gone 88-70 SU this year and are 74-83 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 15.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 73-85 SU and 83-74 ATS. They’ve lost 9.4 units for moneyline bettors and 1.4 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Cincinnati games have had an over/under record of 58-90-9 in 2019. The Brewers have also been a solid under bet with a total record of 67-85-5.
The right-handed Chase Anderson will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. Anderson is 7-4 with a 4.30 ERA and 122 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 5.51 ERA against Cincinnati this year (three starts).
The Reds will turn to righty Luis Castillo (15-7, 3.25 ERA), who has 218 strikeouts and 75 walks, along with a 1.13 WHIP. Castillo is 1-2 with 26 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA over four starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 72 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 4.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.11.
The Cincinnati offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .212/.282/.321 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Reds’ offense has been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is hitting .273/.354/.577 with 49 home runs, 103 RBIs and 87 runs scored, and the line for Iglesias stands at .283/.309/.400 with 11 homers, 55 RBIs and 60 runs.
For the visiting squad, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.49 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.30, along with a WHIP of 1.35.
Brewers hitters have slashed .247/.331/.440 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Milwaukee’s offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .329/.429/.671 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 100 runs and 30 stolen bases, while Cain (.255/.320/.362) is up to 10 homers, 47 RBIs, 74 runs and 18 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 8.1 units and are 53-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 51 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 2.6 units and are 63-55 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 68 that went under the total.
Brewers at Reds MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Milwaukee has recorded 18 extra-base hits over its last five games. Cincinnati has 10 XBH over its last five.
- The Brewers have a team OPS of .771 this season and an OPS of .764 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .736 overall and .728 against righties.
- The Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 games SU while the Reds have dropped four of their last five.
- Milwaukee has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.4 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
