The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking the field against their division rival Chicago Cubs in a Saturday showdown. NBC Sports Chicago will be televising the action and the game gets underway at 2:20 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 58-51 straight up (SU) and 51-57 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 5.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Brewers have gone 57-54 SU this year and are 49-61 ATS. In total, the club has lost 6.5 units for moneyline bettors and 16.1 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.
Cubs games have a 50-51-7 over/under record in 2019. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 49-57-4.
Gio Gonzalez is getting the start for the visiting Brewers. The left-handed Gonzalez (2-1, 3.48 ERA) has recorded 36 strikeouts in 41.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Chicago this year (two starts).
The Cubs are turning to lefty Cole Hamels (6-3, 2.98 ERA), who has 97 strikeouts and 35 walks, in addition to a 1.20 WHIP. Hamels is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA across two starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.91, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 44 games against divisional foes, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.59 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.12.
The Chicago hitters have produced 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .210/.304/.346 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant have led the Cubs’ batters this year. Baez is hitting .287/.319/.548 with 26 home runs, 72 RBIs, 75 runs and nine steals, while Bryant’s line sits at .290/.392/.533 with 21 homers, 51 RBIs and 81 runs.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.78 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.52 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.53, along with a WHIP of 1.40 and a K-per-9 of 10.13.
Brewers hitters have slashed .247/.329/.443 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Milwaukee’s offensive production has been sparked by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .328/.423/.685 with 36 home runs, 81 RBIs, 79 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Cain (.248/.311/.365) is up to eight homers, 37 RBIs, 57 runs and 12 stolen bases.
The Brewers have lost 0.8 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 6.0 units and are 8-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in nine of those games, compared to 11 that went under.
Brewers vs. Cubs Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Both offenses have tallied 12 extra-base hits over their last five contests.
- The Brewers have an OPS of .773 this season and an OPS of .772 against left-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS sits at .778 overall and .717 against lefties.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games SU.
- Milwaukee has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.4 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 13 over their last 10.
