The Milwaukee Brewers will make a road trip to Phoenix to play the Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will televise this NL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
For any gamblers that want to play the moneyline, each team is currently receiving matching odds (-105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at +140 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -160 for the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs.
The Diamondbacks are 49-47 straight up (SU) and 55-40 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 3.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.9 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Brewers have gone 50-47 SU this year and are 42-54 ATS. In total, the club has lost 7.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Diamondbacks games have a 45-44-6 over/under record so far in 2019. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 43-49-4.
The right-handed Zach Davies is getting the nod for Milwaukee. Davies (7-2, 2.89 ERA) has racked up 68 strikeouts in 102.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Diamondbacks are countering with Merrill Kelly (7-9, 3.93 ERA). Kelly has 86 strikeouts and 31 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.27. Kelly did not pitch in the majors in 2018.
As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.12, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Arizona hitters have put up 5.2 runs per contest, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .272/.367/.506 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar have paced the Diamondbacks’ batters this year. Marte is hitting .313/.365/.569 with 21 home runs, 58 RBIs and 61 runs scored, and Escobar’s line is .290/.344/.546 with 21 homers, 75 RBIs and 61 runs.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.63 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.64 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.57, along with a K/9 of 10.00.
Brewers hitters have slashed .248/.330/.449 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas, who collectively have launched 59 home runs. Yelich is slashing .331/.431/.714 with 34 home runs, 73 RBIs, 72 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Moustakas is slashing .267/.335/.545 with 25 homers, 55 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
The Brewers have lost 4.2 units and are 31-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 34 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 0.8 units and are 40-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 28 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under.
Brewers at Diamondbacks MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Milwaukee has logged 24 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Arizona has 21 XBH over its last five.
- The Brewers have a total OPS of .779 this season and an OPS of .781 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS stands at .778 overall and .749 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.6 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 17 over their last 10.
