The Purdue Boilermakers (13-6, 6-2 Big 10) and their outstanding offense welcome the sixth-ranked Michigan State Spartans (18-2, 9-0 Big 10) and their exceptional defense. Action starts at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 27, 2019.
Michigan State Spartans at Purdue Boilermakers ATS Odds
Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Boilermakers defeated the Ohio State Buckeyes 79-67, while the Spartans beat the 19th-ranked Iowa Hawkeyes 82-67.
Michigan State played a nearly perfect game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.392 (above their season average of 0.256) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 44.0 (above their season average of 35.8). For those same stats, Iowa was 0.114 and 27.9, respectively. Meanwhile, Purdue played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.5 (below their season average of 35.3) and a free throw rate of 0.438 (above their season average of 0.194). Ohio State was 16.7 and 0.250, respectively, for those same stats. Carsen Edwards had a good game for Purdue with 27 points and five steals. Michigan State was led by Nick Ward, who put up 21 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Cassius Winston led the Spartans to a 77-59 victory. He was the game’s leading scorer with 23 points. Making free throws was one of Michigan State’s largest strengths. They were 16-19 (84.2 percent), while the Boilermakers were just 12-22 (54.5 percent).
The game should be a showdown of strength against strength as the high-octane offense of Purdue takes on the top-notch defense of Michigan State. The Boilermakers rank 16th in offensive efficiency, while the Spartans are 29th in defensive efficiency.
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Purdue, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Purdue ranks 20th in three pointers attempted per game (28.1) while Michigan State ranks 170th in three pointers allowed per game (23.4).
- The Spartans average 20.4 assists per game, which ranks first in the country. The Boilermakers rank 104th in assists allowed per game (12.6).
- Michigan State ranks ninth in blocks per game (5.5) while Purdue ranks 76th in blocks allowed per game (3.1).
- The Spartans rank third in rebounds per game (43.5) while the Boilermakers rank 140th (35.7).
- Purdue ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Michigan State ranks 120th (6.5).
Bettings Trends:
- The Spartans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.6, down from 17.6 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Boilermakers have scored an average of 76.2 points per game (2.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.6 points per game (1.6 below their season average).
