Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Army West Point Black Knights: NCAA Football Free Pick

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Two schools that like to run the football, Black Knights (-8) are gearing up to welcome the Miami (Oh) RedHawks to Army West Point. CBS Sports Network is scheduled to televise the action and this daytime game gets underway at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Miami (OH) RedHawks at Army West Point Black Knights

In this Saturday matchup, Army West Point is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 8 points. The RedHawks are also receiving +260 moneyline odds while the Black Knights are -340. This tilt should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 46.5 points.

This game’s total has yet to change after it was initially posted at 46.5. Having said that, the line opened at -12 so early action has swayed in favor of the RedHawks.

The RedHawks are 4-3 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.7 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 4-3.

The Black Knights have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 4.2 units. The team is 4-1-1 ATS and has an even O/U record of 3-3.

The RedHawks are 3-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Black Knights are 4-2 SU.

Each team comes into the matchup on a two-game unbeaten streak. The RedHawks are on the upswing after a 31-6 win over Kent State last week where Gus Ragland completed 16-of-24 passes for 209 yards and one touchdown. Kenny Young (90 rushing yards on 10 attempts, one TD) and Maurice Thomas (24 yards on 10 carries) led the running attack while Jack Sorenson (four receptions, 47 yards) and Young (three catches, 47 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.

The Army West Point Black Knights just got a 52-3 win over San Jose State. The defensive unit held its territory in the victory, limiting the Spartans to just 135 passing yards and 36 rushing yards. Tyler Nevens was a bright spot in the loss, posting 43 rushing yards on 11 attempts for San Jose State. For Army West Point, Kelvin Hopkins Jr. completed two-of-five passes for 54 yards and one touchdown. Hopkins Jr. (99 yards on 18 rush attempts, three TDs) and Darnell Woolfolk (46 yards on 14 carries, one TD) handled the running game while Jordan Asberry (one receptions, 41 yards, one TD) and Kell Walker (one catch, 13 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Miami (OH) has run the ball on 53.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Army West Point has a rush percentage of 87.2 percent. The RedHawks have produced 154.9 rush yards/game and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Black Knights are logging 313.5 rush yards per game and have 21 total rushing TDs.

The RedHawks offense has averaged 205.7 yards in the air overall and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Black Knights have recorded 100.8 pass yards per contest and have four total pass scores.

Defensively, Miami (OH) has allowed opponents to run for an average of 123.7 yards and throw for 226.4 yards per game. The Army West Point defense has given up 212.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 110.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The RedHawks are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.20 to opposing QBs, while the Black Knights have allowed an 8.35 ANY/A.

Offensively, Ragland has put up 1,226 passing yards this season, and has connected on 106-of-178 attempts with nine passing scores and only two interceptions. Ragland has a 7.02 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.16 over the last two games.

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. has completed 23-of-51 passes for 514 yards, three TDs and two INTs for Army West Point. His ANY/A stands at 9.06 for the year and 12.55 over his last two outings.

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Army West Point Black Knights NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Army West Point, ATS Winner: Army West Point, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • As a team, Miami (OH) has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its past three games and 5.7 over its last two.
  • Army West Point has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.8 over its past two.
  • The Army West Point offense has lost two fumbles this season while Miami (OH) has lost four.
  • Army West Point has won five of its last six games SU, with a -7-point loss to Oklahoma on September 22nd representing its only defeat over that stretch.
  • The RedHawks offense has produced two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Black Knights have accounted for four such plays.
  • The Miami (OH) defense has allowed one pass play of 40+ yards, while Army West Point has given up four such plays.
  • The Miami (OH) offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Army West Point has created 12 such runs.
  • The RedHawks defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Black Knights have given up four such runs.
  • The Miami (OH) D has 19 sacks on the year while Army West Point has just 12.