Starlin Castro and the slumping Miami Marlins will be taking the field against their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in a Sunday showdown. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game gets going at 1:35 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Bookmakers have Miami (+225) as the underdog to Washington (-250). You can play matchup’s total with current odds posted at -115 for over 8 runs and -105 for under 8. This game currently has a runline of Marlins +1.5 (+100) and Nationals -1.5 (-120).
The Marlins have gone 48-87 SU this year and are 67-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.2 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 76-58 SU and 75-58 ATS. They’ve lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 13.4 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither team has been a strong over/under play this year. Nationals games have a 63-63-7 over/under record in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 62-62-10.
The southpaw Caleb Smith is the probable starter for the visiting Marlins. Smith (8-8, 4.05 ERA) has recorded 143 strikeouts in 122.1 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).
The Nationals will put the ball in the left hand of Patrick Corbin (10-6, 3.15 ERA), who has 193 strikeouts and 51 walks this season as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Corbin is 2-0 with 21 strikeouts and a 0.78 ERA over three starts against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.57 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.03, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 9.32.
Marlins hitters have slashed .239/.298/.368 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .266/.288/.402 with 15 home runs, 71 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Anderson (.261/.342/.468) has produced 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.46, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 5.91 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 57 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.39 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.64.
The Washington offense has put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .276/.340/.466 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton. Rendon is hitting .335/.414/.632 with 31 home runs, 109 RBIs and 100 runs scored, while Eaton’s line is .288/.377/.436 with 12 homers, 42 RBIs, 90 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Marlins have lost 0.5 units and are 20-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have netted 0.3 units and are 19-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 15 that went under.
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Miami has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five games. Washington has 19 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six games SU while the Nationals have won eight of their last nine.
- Miami has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.2 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .666 this season and an OPS of .688 against left-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .797 overall and .828 against southpaws.
