The ice-cold Philadelphia Phillies will try to avoid losing their seventh consecutive game as they play host to the Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will showcase the action.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (receiving -150 odds) is favored over Miami and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -155 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +135 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Phillies are 39-37 straight up (SU) and 36-39 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.7 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Marlins have gone 29-46 SU this year and are 36-38 ATS. In total, the club has lost 1.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.6 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Phillies games have a 35-38-2 over/under record so far in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 33-38-3.
Jordan Yamamoto is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Yamamoto is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Phillies are sending righty Enyel De Los Santos (0-0, 6.43 ERA) to the mound. De Los Santos has seven strikeouts and two walks to his credit, along with a 1.14 WHIP. De Los Santos is 0-0 with an 18.00 ERA against Miami this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.73 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 32 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.53.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .216/.302/.358 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and first baseman Rhys Hoskins have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Hernandez is hitting .271/.328/.425 with seven home runs, 33 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and Hoskins is hitting .272 with 16 homers, 50 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.71 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.10 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.11, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K-per-9 of 9.30.
The Marlins offense has slashed .235/.296/.349 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Miami’s offense has been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .251/.336/.401 with nine home runs, 33 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Castro is hitting .232/.263/.313 with five homers, 31 RBIs and 21 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 0.9 units and are 25-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 4.9 units and are 27-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 29 which went under the total.
Marlins at Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .645 this season and an OPS of .642 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .737 overall and .723 against righties.
- Miami has recorded 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.0 over its last five.
- The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine games SU.
