In Game 1 of their NL East doubleheader, the Miami Marlins are set to take the field against the New York Mets at Citi Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will broadcast the matchup.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
The Mets are 55-56 straight up (SU) and 56-54 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 9.6 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins are 42-67 SU and have gone 56-52 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.2 units for moneyline bettors and 6.0 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
New York games have had an over/under record of 58-43-9 in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 48-53-7.
The right-handed Sandy Alcantara will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. Alcantara is 4-10 with a 4.54 ERA and 89 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 15 strikeouts and a 3.48 ERA against New York this year (three starts).
The Mets are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jacob deGrom (6-7, 2.78 ERA), who has 174 strikeouts and 34 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.08. deGrom is 3-1 with 31 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA across four starts against Miami this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.08, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.22 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 47 games against divisional opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.73 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.64.
New York’s hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .280/.345/.462 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ offense has been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is slashing .336/.400/.526 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Rosario is batting .280 with 11 homers, 47 RBIs, 51 runs and 13 steals.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.19 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.38 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.68, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
Marlins hitters have slashed .237/.296/.363 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
First baseman Miguel Rojas and second baseman Starlin Castro continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Rojas is slashing .291/.342/.387 with four home runs, 33 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Castro (.247/.275/.356) is up to nine homers, 45 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 1.5 units and are 38-41 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 8.8 units and are 40-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 45 of those games, as opposed to 32 which went under the total.
Marlins at Mets Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Miami has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 21 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .658 this season and an OPS of .646 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .759 overall and .747 against righties.
- Miami has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games SU while the Mets have won nine of their last 10.
