The Miami Marlins will do battle against their divisional rival New York Mets in a Wednesday night game. SportsNet New York will broadcast the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
Miami (+300) is entering this one as the underdog against New York (-375) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +150 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -170 for the Mets -1.5.
The Marlins are 55-102 SU and have gone 80-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.0 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 82-75 SU and 81-75 ATS. The team has lost 8.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.6 units ATS.
New York games have had an over/under record of 78-65-13 in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 74-70-12.
The right-handed Robert Dugger will get the start for the visiting Marlins. Dugger is 0-3 with a 4.45 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets are turning to righty Jacob deGrom (10-8, 2.51 ERA), who has 248 strikeouts and 43 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 0.99. deGrom is 4-1 with 39 strikeouts and a 2.90 ERA across five starts against Miami this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.91, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.04 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 71 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.39 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.78.
The New York offense is putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .222/.310/.428 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ batters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil. Rosario is hitting .285/.322/.432 with 15 home runs, 70 RBIs, 74 runs and 19 stolen bases, while McNeil’s line sits at .317/.384/.530 with 23 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.54 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.10, along with a WHIP of 1.28.
The Marlins offense has slashed .241/.302/.373 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is slashing .268/.297/.430 with 21 home runs, 83 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Rojas (.284/.332/.383) has produced five homers, 46 RBIs and 49 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 17.4 units and are 55-59 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 0.2 units and are 60-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 60 of those games, compared to 46 which went under the total.
Marlins vs. Mets MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in just one of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .675 this season and an OPS of .665 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .770 overall and .763 versus righties.
- New York has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 16 over their last 10.
