Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins are set to do battle against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in a Saturday showdown. This NL showdown starts at 8:10 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on both ATRM and FSFL.
Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies Odds
Bookmakers have Colorado (-230) as the favorite over Miami (+210). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish under 12.5 runs, then bookmakers are offering -115 odds. Taking the over give you -105 odds. There’s a runline of Marlins +1.5 (-105) and Rockies -1.5 (-115) for this matchup.
The Marlins are 45-76 SU and have gone 61-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.3 units ATS. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 55-67 SU and 55-66 ATS. They’ve lost 9.3 units for moneyline bettors and 17.4 units ATS.
Colorado games have had an over/under record of 59-53-9 in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 56-54-10.
Right-hander Hector Noesi will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. Noesi is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Rockies are planning to start righty German Marquez (11-5, 4.75 ERA), who’s got 163 strikeouts and 32 walks to his name as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Marquez is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.35 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.03, along with a K-per-9 of 9.45.
The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.299/.366 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .260/.285/.379 with 11 home runs, 57 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Anderson (.257/.338/.469) has produced 20 homers, 64 RBIs and 54 runs scored.
For the home team, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.81, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 5.17 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.
The Colorado hitters have put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .291/.367/.486 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Right fielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado have led the Rockies’ offense this year. Blackmon is slashing .323/.366/.589 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs and 88 runs scored, and Arenado’s line is .303/.365/.549 with 28 homers, 91 RBIs and 78 runs.
The Marlins have lost 4.2 units and are 42-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 6.8 units and are 30-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 31 which went under the total.
Marlins at Rockies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in six of Miami’s last seven contests.
- Miami has recorded 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .665 this season and an OPS of .653 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Rockies’ OPS sits at .784 overall and .776 against righties.
