The struggling Cincinnati Reds are trying to avoid dropping their ninth consecutive game as they play host to the Miami Marlins at Great American Ball Park. This NL showdown will begin at 6:40 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the game.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (-155) is hosting this one as the favorite over Miami (+145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Marlins +1.5 runs (-150) and Reds -1.5 runs (+130).
The Reds are just 1-8 straight up (SU) and 4-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. On the other hand, the Marlins have gone 3-7 SU this year and are 5-5 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 2.8 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the year and 1.3 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 2-7 so far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 5-4-1.
Jose Urena (0-2, 10.38 ERA) is projected to get the nod for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Urena started 31 games last year while finishing the season 9-12 overall with a 3.98 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP.
The Reds are putting the ball in the hands of righty Luis Castillo (0-1, 1.42 ERA), who recorded 165 strikeouts across 169 innings last year with only 49 walks. Castillo finished the season 10-12 overall with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.47, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 3.98 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and 6.8 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense is putting up 2.3 runs per outing, including 2.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .166/.209/.301 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The Reds’ offense has been led by first baseman Joey Votto and catcher Tucker Barnhart. Votto is slashing .226/.314/.419 with seven hits, one RBI and four runs scored, and Barnhart is hitting .273 with six hits and zero RBIs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.67 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.44, along with a K-per-9 of 10.32.
The Marlins offense has slashed .235/.294/.376 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Miami’s offense has been powered by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Martin Prado. Castro is slashing .300/.317/.475 with 12 hits, four RBIs and six runs scored. Prado (.476/.522/.619) has produced 10 hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 0.1 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in one of those games, as opposed to three that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 7.7 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in two of those games, as opposed to seven which went under the total.
Marlins vs. Reds Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The Reds went 2-5 SU against the Marlins in 2018.
- The Marlins’ bullpen managed 2.19 ERA against the Reds last year.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .670 this season and an OPS of .617 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .534 overall and their left / right split is nearly identical.
