The Miami Marlins will head north to face off against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. The game gets underway 8:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast this NL showdown.
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 16-15 SU and 13-17 ATS. They’ve lost 5.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.9 units against the spread (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Marlins are 13-20 SU and have gone 16-16 ATS. In total, the teams accumulated 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season, but have lost 2.7 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Chicago games have an over/under record of 13-17 so far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 14-18.
Jarlin Garcia will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The southpaw Garcia is 1-0 with a 1.09 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Chicago this year.
The Cubs will turn to righty Kyle Hendricks (2-2, 3.19 ERA) to the mound. Hendricks has 29 strikeouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a 1.09 WHIP. Hendricks is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Miami this year.
Chicago’s pitchers have yielded 4.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 3.96 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.74, a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 8.9.
The Chicago offense has produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 2.6 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The teams hit .201/.241/.349 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.
Second baseman Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant have led the Cubs hitters this year. Baez is slashing .286/.331/.639 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs and 23 runs scored, and Bryant’s line sits at .272/.397/.515 with four homers, 13 RBIs and 15 runs scored.
Baez seemed to enjoy hitting lefties at home last year. Across 58 such plate appearances, he slashed .358/.397/.679 (compared to his overall season line of .273/.317/.480).
For the visitors, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.23 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.98 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.84, along with a WHIP of 1.34.
Marlins hitters have slashed .226/.299/.328 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.0 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Justin Bour and second baseman Starlin Castro have led Miami’s offense. Bour is slashing .240/.345/.440 with six home runs, 15 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Castro is hitting .315/.364/.395 with one homers, 16 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 0.2 units and are 12-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 2.4 units and are 3-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs cashed in three of those games, compared to six that went under.
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Chicago has recorded 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit eight over their last 10.
