The Miami Marlins will head north to Nationals Park to play their NL East foe Washington Nationals. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds
Miami (+190) is entering this game as the underdog against Washington (-210) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. The game’s runline odds stand at -115 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and -105 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.
The Marlins are just 32-50 SU and are 40-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 0.9 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 11.1 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 42-41 SU and 43-40 ATS. They’ve lost 11.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.9 units ATS.
Nationals games have an over/under record of 42-35-6 so far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 38-39-5.
Zac Gallen will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. Gallen (0-1, 3.60 ERA) has recorded 14 strikeouts in 10 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals are putting the ball in the left hand of Patrick Corbin (7-5, 3.71 ERA), who has 111 strikeouts and 33 walks this season as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Corbin is 2-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 0.56 ERA across two starts against Miami this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.30 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 39 games against NL East foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.21 and the bullpen’s ERA is 8.00.
The Washington offense has produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .234/.314/.427 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ batters this year. Eaton is slashing .279/.364/.384 with six home runs, 21 RBIs and 47 runs scored, and Rendon’s line is .311/.398/.630 with 19 homers, 58 RBIs and 63 runs scored.
For the visitors, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.93 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.12 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.12, along with a K-per-9 of 9.39.
Marlins hitters have slashed .239/.299/.358 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Miami’s offense has been fueled by first baseman Miguel Rojas and third baseman Brian Anderson. Rojas is slashing .287/.350/.358 with 80 hits, 23 RBIs and 29 runs scored. Anderson (.255/.339/.428) has produced 78 hits, 11 homers, 38 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 1.1 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Marlins at Nationals Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.
- The Nationals have won five of their last six games SU.
- Miami has recorded 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 15 over their last 10.
