Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins will be taking on their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in a Saturday showdown. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the action and the opening pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Las Vegas has Washington (-300) as the favorite over Miami (+250). You can play game’s total with current odds sitting at +105 for over 9 runs and -125 for under 9. This game currently has a runline of Marlins +1.5 (+120) and Nationals -1.5 (-140).
The Nationals are 75-58 straight up (SU) and 75-57 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 14.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Marlins are 48-86 SU and have gone 66-67 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 10.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 11.2 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Neither team has positioned itself as a strong over/under bet this year. Washington games have an over/under record of 62-63-7 in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 61-62-10.
Right-hander Pablo Lopez will get the nod for Miami. Lopez is 5-6 with a 4.41 ERA and 76 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 9.82 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals are sending righty Stephen Strasburg (15-5, 3.63 ERA) to the mound. Strasburg has 201 strikeouts and 43 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.08. Strasburg is 3-0 with 29 strikeouts and a 1.61 ERA over three starts against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.51 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.32 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.07, along with a K-per-9 of 9.38.
The Marlins offense has slashed .241/.299/.370 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is hitting .266/.288/.402 with 15 home runs, 71 RBIs and 46 runs scored. Anderson (.261/.342/.468) has produced 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
For the home team, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.92 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 56 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.68.
The Washington hitters have produced 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .275/.365/.388 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ hitters have been led by third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton. Rendon is hitting .333/.412/.619 with 29 home runs, 107 RBIs and 97 runs scored, while Eaton’s line is .288/.377/.436 with 12 homers, 42 RBIs, 90 runs and 13 steals.
The Marlins have lost 9.8 units and are 46-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 1.8 units and are 56-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 47 of those games, as opposed to 48 that’ve gone under.
Marlins at Nationals MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in four of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Nationals have won seven of their last eight games SU.
- Washington has posted 29.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.4 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Marlins have a total OPS of .669 this season and an OPS of .657 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .796 overall and .779 against righties.
