The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing host to the Miami Marlins at PNC Park. This NL matchup gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on either ATPT or FSFL.
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Miami (+165) is the underdog to Pittsburgh (-175) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Runline odds sit at -135 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +115 for the Pirates -1.5 runs.
The Marlins are 49-88 SU and have gone 67-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.3 units for moneyline bettors and 12.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 60-78 SU and 68-69 ATS. They’ve lost 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 17.2 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 77-54-6 in 2019. Marlins games have gone over 63 times, gone under 63 times and pushed on 10 occasions.
Robert Dugger will get the start for Miami. The right-handed Dugger is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the right hand of Trevor Williams (7-6, 5.34 ERA), who’s got 90 strikeouts and 33 walks as well as a 1.40 WHIP. Williams did not re a start against the Marlins in 2018.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.22, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 7.7 per game over its last 10 games and 8.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .347/.406/.560 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell. Marte is hitting .293/.340/.501 with 23 home runs, 79 RBIs, 95 runs and 25 stolen bases, while Bell is batting .278 with 35 homers, 110 RBIs and 91 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.61 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.01, along with a K/9 of 9.28.
Marlins hitters have slashed .238/.298/.368 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Miami’s offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .267/.290/.406 with 16 home runs, 72 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Anderson is slashing .261/.342/.468 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 11.8 units and are 47-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, as opposed to 50 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 0.6 units and are 52-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 53 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under.
Marlins at Pirates Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Miami has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Pittsburgh has 21 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Marlins have a total OPS of .666 this season and an OPS of .651 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .756 overall and .777 against righties.
- Miami has posted 15.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.6 over its last five.
