Starlin Castro and the slumping Miami Marlins will be taking on their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in a Sunday showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast the matchup.
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
The Marlins have gone 56-105 SU this year and are 83-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.5 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 81-80 SU and 75-85 ATS. They’ve lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 13.3 units ATS.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 74-79-7 in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 76-71-13.
Right-hander Sandy Alcantara is the projected starter for the visiting Marlins. Alcantara (5-14, 3.95 ERA) has recorded 146 punchouts in 191.1 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.97 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies are turning to righty Blake Parker (3-2, 4.18 ERA), who has 63 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Parker is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.61 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.19 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.96, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.19.
Marlins hitters have slashed .241/.300/.374 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is slashing .270/.300/.431 with 21 home runs, 85 RBIs and 67 runs scored. Rojas has a .284 average with five homers, 46 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.42 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 75 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.83 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.10.
Philadelphia’s hitters have produced 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .232/.298/.442 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have paced the Phillies’ hitters this year. Hernandez is hitting .280/.334/.410 with 14 home runs, 71 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Segura’s line is .280/.323/.420 with 12 homers, 60 RBIs and 79 runs.
Marlins at Phillies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- Miami has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Philadelphia has 19 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games SU.
- Miami has posted 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.6 over its last five.
- Both teams have hit 13 home runs over their last 10 outings.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .674 this season and an OPS of .665 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .747 overall and .732 against righties.
