The streaking New York Mets are gunning for their fifth straight victory when they play host to the Miami Marlins at Citi Field. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
Miami (+185) is the underdog to New York (-200) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Marlins +1.5 runs (-120) and Mets -1.5 runs (+100).
The Mets are 57-56 straight up (SU) and 57-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 42-69 SU and have gone 56-53 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 3.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
New York games have had an over/under record of 59-43-9 in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 49-53-7.
Right-hander Jordan Yamamoto will get the nod for Miami. Yamamoto (4-2, 3.94 ERA) has recorded 49 strikeouts in 48 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mets will be sending righty Zack Wheeler (8-6, 4.45 ERA) to the mound. Wheeler has 144 strikeouts and 34 walks to his name, along with a 1.23 WHIP. Wheeler is 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 4.09 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.13 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 49 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.42.
The New York hitters have produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .290/.369/.540 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ offense has been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is slashing .337/.402/.532 with 14 home runs, 50 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .281 with 12 homers, 48 RBIs, 54 runs and 14 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.24 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.68, along with a WHIP of 1.28.
Marlins hitters have slashed .237/.296/.364 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Miguel Rojas and second baseman Starlin Castro. Rojas is hitting .291/.345/.386 with four home runs, 33 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Castro (.247/.274/.356) has produced nine homers, 46 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 2.5 units and are 38-42 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 33 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 7.8 units and are 41-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under.
Marlins at Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .660 this season and an OPS of .648 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .760 overall and .752 versus righties.
- Miami has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.2 over its last five.
- The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games SU while the Mets have won 11 of their last 12.
