Miguel Rojas and the Miami Marlins are making a road trip to Atlanta to face a divisional foe in the Braves at SunTrust Park. The matchup will get going at 7:20 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox SportsNet Florida.
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Odds
Atlanta (-180) is the favorite over Miami (+170) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. This game currently has a runline of Marlins +1.5 (-130) and Braves -1.5 (+110).
The Marlins are just 32-53 SU and are 41-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors and 11.1 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 52-36 SU and 42-45 ATS. They’ve gained 10.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.4 units ATS.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 47-35-5 so far in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 38-41-5.
Jordan Yamamoto will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Yamamoto is 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of righty Julio Teheran (5-6, 3.99 ERA), who has 85 punchouts and 49 walks as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Teheran is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA over two starts against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.97 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.99, along with a K/9 of 9.29.
The Marlins offense has slashed .239/.298/.356 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
First baseman Miguel Rojas and second baseman Starlin Castro continue to lead Miami’s offense. Rojas is slashing .296/.355/.375 with 86 hits, 26 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Castro has a .237 average with 80 hits, 33 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.60, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.79 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 33 games against NL East foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.90 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.50.
Atlanta’s offense is putting up 5.5 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .283/.340/.561 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr.. Freeman is hitting .309/.393/.590 with 23 home runs, 66 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Acuna Jr.’s line is .291/.374/.503 with 20 homers, 52 RBIs, 66 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Marlins have gained 1.0 units and are 29-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 4.8 units and are 33-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, as opposed to 29 which went under the total.
Marlins at Braves MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in four of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- Miami has posted 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .654 this season and an OPS of .653 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .805 overall and .799 against righties.
