The NBA’s top shooting defense will be at home in Scotiabank Arena, when the Toronto Raptors (15-4) clash against the Miami Heat (14-5). Action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 3, 2019, and can be seen on CTV Sportsnet Toronto.
Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Betting Odds
The Raptors come in on a high note after easily covering the 2-point spread against the Utah Jazz in their last matchup, 130-110. The Heat, on the other hand, topped the Brooklyn Nets, 109-106, but failed to cover as 4.5-point favorites. The Toronto game went 32 points over the projected point total of 208, while the Miami game hit the projected point total of 215.
Miami played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.242 (above their season average of 0.241) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.1 (above their season average of 21.9). Brooklyn was 0.132 and 20.5, respectively, for those same stats. The Raptors, on the other hand, had an absurd effective field goal percentage of 0.628 (above their season average of 0.541) and had a better turnover percentage (12.4 vs. 14.9). Pascal Siakam played a key role for Toronto with 35 points, five rebounds and five assists. Bam Adebayo, meanwhile had a solid performance for Miami, recording 17 points and 16 rebounds.
The Raptors dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in all four contests. In the last matchup, Toronto won 117-109. Toronto did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (23-27; 85.2 percent). Miami, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (21.8 vs. 8.5). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Heat’s 19 games, nine have finished over the total. Miami heads into the game with records of 14-5 straight up (SU) and 12-5-2 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Raptors have typically finished over the O/U total (57.9 percent). Additionally, Toronto owns records of 15-4 SU and 13-6 ATS.
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Toronto ranks fifth in offensive efficiency and Miami ranks fifth in defensive efficiency.
Heat at Raptors Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank 20th in second chance points per game (12.4) while the Raptors rank 27th (11.0).
- Toronto ranks second in points off turnovers per game (20.1) while Miami ranks last in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.3).
- The Raptors rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Heat rank 29th (9.0).
- Miami ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Toronto ranks 25th (6.1).
- Miami ranks 11th in assists per game (25.0) while Toronto ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (24.5).
- The Heat rank second in rebounds allowed per game (40.4) while the Raptors rank 29th (48.5).
- The Raptors rank seventh in three pointers attempted per game (36.2) while the Heat rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (36.4).
- Toronto ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (41.6) while Miami ranks eighth (45.3).
- Toronto ranks first in fast break points per game (19.6) while Miami ranks 27th (11.0).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Toronto is 7-1 and Miami is 4-1.
- When reaching 100 points, the Raptors are 14-3 and the Heat are 14-2.
- Miami is 5-5-1 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 8-1 ATS at home.
- The Heat have 6 unders, 4 overs and 1 push in 11 road games.
- The Raptors have 7 overs and 2 unders in 9 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Raptors are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Heat are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Toronto has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Miami has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
- The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.6, up from 9.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 108.4 points per game (3.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.2 points per game (3.1 above their season average).
