The Detroit Pistons (9-3) will try to extend a five-game home winning streak when they go head-to-head against the Miami Heat (6-6) at Little Caesars Arena. Detroit is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 202 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 12, 2017, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.
Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons ATS Preview
The last time the Heat played, they were victorious over the Utah Jazz, 84-74. With eight points and 20 rebounds, Hassan Whiteside had a solid game for Miami. The Heat held the Jazz to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.9 (below their season average of 19.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.372 (below their season average of 0.496).
The Pistons will look to maintain momentum after defeating the Atlanta Hawks in their last game, 111-104. Detroit was led by Andre Drummond, who put up 16 points, 20 rebounds and seven assists. The Pistons knocked down 21 of their 27 free throws (77.8 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 37.0 (above their season average of 24.1).
Miami could struggle to create turnovers. Detroit ranks sixth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 14.0 percent), while Miami forces the ninth-fewest turnovers (14.3 percent).
Of Miami’s 12 games, six have finished under the projected point total, while 7 of Detroit’s 12 games have finished over the projected point total. The Pistons hold a clear advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 9-3 SU and 8-3-1 ATS, while the Heat are 6-6 SU and 4-6-2 ATS.
Drummond has really been playing well over the last five games for Detroit, averaging 16.8 rebounds, 14.4 points, 3.6 assists and 2.0 steals per game.
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after splitting four games last season. In the last matchup, the Heat won 97-96. One of Miami’s biggest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They had 28 free throw attempts, while Detroit had 21.
Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons Odds Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank eighth in blocks per game (5.4) while the Pistons rank 29th (3.1).
- Detroit ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (8.3) while Miami ranks 11th (9.7).
- Detroit ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while Miami ranks 20th (19.3).
- Miami is 4-2 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 4-2-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Pistons’ 7 home games, while 3 of the Heat’s 6 road games have gone under.
- Miami is 3-3 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Detroit is 5-1.
- When scoring above 100 points, the Heat are 4-3 and the Pistons are 8-1.
- The Pistons average 47.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Heat rank 16th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.5).
- Detroit ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (8.8) while Miami ranks 27th (15.1).
- The Heat rank second in assists allowed per game (17.7) while the Pistons rank 24th (23.7).
- The Heat lead the NBA with 23.7 three pointers allowed per game while the Pistons are fifth with 25.9 three pointers allowed per game.
- Detroit ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (7.3) while Miami ranks 25th (9.3).
Bettings Trends:
- Detroit is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, Miami is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.
- The Pistons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.4, down from 5.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 97.6 points per game (4.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 96.4 points per game (5.9 below their season average).
