The Miami Heat (3-3), 2-point underdogs, will be at Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets (3-4) in a Southeast Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222 points and it will air on Fox Sports Carolina at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 30, 2018.
Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Betting Odds
Both teams fell in their last contest. The Heat (1.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Sacramento Kings, 123-113, while the Hornets (7.5-point underdogs) fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 105-103. The Miami game finished 16 points over the projected point total of 220, while the Charlotte game finished 23 points under the projected point total of 231.
Miami did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (24-34; 70.6 percent) while Charlotte had a better turnover percentage (7.9 vs. 9.5). Charlotte’s Kemba Walker had a solid performance, recording 37 points, six rebounds and six assists. Miami, meanwhile, rallied around Hassan Whiteside, who finished with 16 points, 24 rebounds and five blocks.
The aggressive Charlotte offense looks poised to dominate from the charity stripe. Since last season, the Hornets rank first in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.229, while Miami ranks 29th in FTA rate allowed (0.218). ,
Heat games have typically gone over the projected point total (60.0 percent). Miami comes into the game with records of 3-3 straight up (SU) and 3-2 against the spread (ATS).
Hornets games also have a tendency to finish over the total (57.1 percent). Further, Charlotte is 3-4 SU and 5-2 ATS.
In their first matchup this year, Walker led the Hornets to a 113-112 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 39 points. Charlotte covered as a 4-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 225 points, which was just over the projected point total of 220. The Hornets’ 9.6 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Heat, who had a rate of 12.9.
Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- The Heat average 44.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Hornets rank 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.4).
- Miami ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.3) while Charlotte ranks 25th (24.6).
- The Hornets rank fourth in rebounds per game (45.4) while the Heat rank 17th (43.9).
- Miami ranks 17th in steals per game (7.5) while Charlotte ranks 29th (6.8).
- Miami ranks ninth in three pointers attempted per game (30.7) while Charlotte ranks 19th in three pointers allowed per game (30.3).
- The Heat average 5.5 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Hornets rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
- The Hornets rank first in second chance points allowed per game (10.7) while the Heat rank 13th (12.3).
- Miami is 26th in the league with 9.8 fast break points per game while Charlotte is 28th with 9.3 fast break points per game.
- Charlotte ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while Miami ranks 15th (16.2).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Charlotte is 14-3 and Miami is 28-6.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Hornets are 38-27 and the Heat are 36-24.
