The Miami Heat (24-8) head to Capital One Arena to go head-to-head with the Washington Wizards (9-22). The Heat look to continue their five-game winning streak. Action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, December 30, 2019.
Miami Heat at Washington Wizards Betting Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The Heat (1.5-point favorites) defeated the Philadelphia 76ers, 117-116, while the Wizards (3-point underdogs) were defeated by the New York Knicks, 107-100. The Miami game went 19.5 points over the projected point total of 213.5, while the Washington game finished 20.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5.
Miami’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Philadelphia. The Heat had a rate of 7.0 (better than their season average of 13.9), while the 76ers posted a mark of 8.1. Washington, meanwhile, forced New York into a turnover percentage of 17.9 (above their season average of 12.3). Washington was led by Isaiah Thomas, who had 20 points. Jimmy Butler, meanwhile led the way for Miami, recording 25 points, nine rebounds and nine assists.
In their first matchup this season, Butler led the Heat to a 112-103 win. He registered a triple-double with 28 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists. Miami was unable to cover as a 10-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 215 points, which was under the projected point total of 227.5. Miami’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Washington. The Heat had a rate of 0.209, while the Wizards posted a mark of 0.143.
Of the Heat’s 32 games, 19 have finished over the total. Miami holds records of 24-8 straight up (SU) and 18-12-2 against the spread (ATS).
Wizards games also have a tendency to go over the total (58.1 percent). Further, Washington is 9-22 SU and 16-15 ATS.
It will be a matchup of conflicting styles as the fast-paced Wizards (ranked fifth in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more grind-it-out Heat (17th in possessions per game). Moreover, the Heat’s fifth-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 110.1) will go head-to-head against the Wizards’ 30th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 114.9).
Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank 13th in second chance points allowed per game (12.9) while the Wizards rank 27th (14.5).
- Washington ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (18.5) while Miami ranks 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.9).
- The Heat rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while the Wizards rank 24th (5.6).
- Miami ranks ninth in points allowed in the paint per game (45.1) while Washington ranks 28th (51.1).
- Washington averages 34.2 three pointers per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Miami ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (37.2).
- The Heat rank second in rebounds allowed per game (41.5) while the Wizards rank 24th (46.8).
- The Wizards rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Heat rank 21st (8.1).
- Miami ranks eighth in assists per game (25.3) while Washington ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (26.7).
- Miami is 4-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Washington is 2-0.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Wizards are 8-22 and the Heat are 24-4.
- Miami is 8-7-1 ATS on the road, while Washington is 5-7 ATS at home.
- The Heat have 8 overs, 7 unders and 1 push in 16 road games.
- The Wizards have 6 overs, 5 unders and 1 push in 12 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Miami and Washington are both 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 114.8 points per game (2.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.0 points per game (2.3 above their season average).
- The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.4, up from 5.1 for the season.
