The Sacramento Kings (19-31) will be at home in the Golden 1 Center when they go head-to-head against the Miami Heat (34-16). The game will air on NBC Sports – California at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, February 7, 2020.
Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
The last time the Kings played, they covered the 1-point spread against the Minnesota Timberwolves, 113-109. The Heat, meanwhile, were defeated by the Los Angeles Clippers, 128-111, and failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The Sacramento game finished 5 points under the projected point total of 227, while the Miami game finished 14.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5.
The Kings knocked down 23 of their 31 free throws (74.2 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.600 (above their season average of 0.525). Miami, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 7.3 (better than their season average of 12.9). Sacramento received a boost from De’Aaron Fox, who put up 31 points and five assists. Bam Adebayo, meanwhile played well for Miami, putting up 22 points, 11 rebounds and six assists.
In their first matchup this season, Adebayo led the Heat to a 118-113 victory. He registered a double-double with 16 points and 11 rebounds. Miami covered as a 3-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 231 points, which was over the projected point total of 221. Making free throws was one of Miami’s biggest strengths. They were 18-22 (81.8 percent), while the Kings were 12-15 (80.0 percent).
Of the Heat’s 50 games, 30 have gone over the total. Miami comes into the contest with records of 34-16 straight up (SU) and 27-21-2 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Kings’ 50 games, 26 have finished over the total. Additionally, Sacramento is 19-31 SU and 24-26 ATS.
Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams square off. Sacramento currently ranks 24th in possessions per game (100.8) and Miami is 23rd (100.9). Furthermore, the Heat’s fourth-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.547) will battle against the Kings’ 21st-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.538).
Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Heat average 7.2 steals per game, which ranks 22nd in the NBA. The Kings rank 24th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Sacramento averages 34.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Miami ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (37.6).
- The Heat rank 18th in rebounds per game (45.1) while the Kings rank 28th (42.4).
- Sacramento ranks 16th in fast break points per game (12.4) while Miami ranks 25th (10.7).
- Miami ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while Sacramento ranks ninth (4.4).
- The Kings average 17.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Heat rank 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).
- The Heat rank 11th in assists per game (25.2) while the Kings rank 19th in assists allowed per game (24.6).
- Sacramento ranks 24th in points in the paint per game (45.4) while Miami ranks 25th (44.9).
- Sacramento ranks 13th in second chance points per game (13.2) while Miami ranks 26th (11.8).
- Miami is 7-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Sacramento is 8-2.
- The Kings are 17-24 when they reach 100 points, while the Heat are 33-11.
- Sacramento is 8-16 ATS at home, while Miami is 11-13-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 12 of the Kings’ 24 home games, while 14 of the Heat’s 25 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Miami and Sacramento are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Heat have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Kings have 4 overs and 1 under
- The Heat’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.0, up from 4.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 116.6 points per game (9.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.0 points per game (7.4 above their season average).
