The Miami Heat (13-5) will travel to the Barclays Center to square off with the Brooklyn Nets (10-9). The Heat opened as 3-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216.5 points and it will air on YES Network at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 1, 2019.
Miami Heat at Brooklyn Nets Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Nets (4-point underdogs) defeated the Boston Celtics 112-107, while the Heat (11.5-point favorite) beat the Golden State Warriors 122-105. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Brooklyn game went 6 points over the projected point total of 213, while the Miami game went 19 points over the projected point total of 208.
The Heat held the Warriors to an offensive rebounding percentage of 9.3 (below their season average of 22.5) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.616 (above their season average of 0.556). The Nets, on the other hand, had a superb effective field goal percentage of 0.554 (above their season average of 0.521), while the Celtics had a turnover percentage of 15.7 (above their season average of 10.7). Spencer Dinwiddie played well for Brooklyn with 32 points, 11 assists and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Miami was led by Goran Dragic, who finished with 20 points and five rebounds.
This was a highly competitive series last year, as the teams split their four games last season. The Nets won the last matchup 113-94. Brooklyn’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Nets had 20 offensive rebounds and 68 total rebounds, while the Heat had eight and 54, respectively. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Heat games, with an even split between overs and unders. Miami comes into the game with records of 13-5 straight up (SU) and 12-4-2 against the spread (ATS).
Nets games have a slight tendency to finish over the total (47.4 percent). Additionally, Brooklyn is 10-9 SU and 9-9-1 ATS.
Brooklyn might struggle to score as they clash against one of the league’s best defenses. Miami currently ranks fourth in defensive efficiency while the Nets rank 18th in offensive efficiency.
Heat at Nets Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nets rank fourth in assists allowed per game (21.9) while the Heat rank 14th (23.5).
- Miami ranks second in steals per game (9.3) while Brooklyn ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
- The Heat average 18.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Nets rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.8).
- Brooklyn ranks eighth in second chance points per game (14.1) while Miami ranks 25th (11.9).
- Miami ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Brooklyn ranks 15th (4.9).
- The Heat rank second in rebounds allowed per game (40.0) while the Nets rank 24th (46.5).
- The Nets rank fifth in points in the paint per game (50.2) while the Heat rank 19th (46.4).
- Brooklyn ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (37.7) while Miami ranks 25th in three pointers allowed per game (36.1).
- Miami is 4-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Brooklyn is 2-0.
- The Nets are 10-7 when they score over 100 points, while the Heat are 13-2.
- Brooklyn is 5-4 ATS at home, while Miami is 5-4-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Heat’s 10 road games, while 5 of the Nets’ 9 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Miami and Brooklyn are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Heat have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Nets have 3 unders and 2 overs
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 109.8 points per game (1.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (3.5 above their season average).
- The Nets have outscored opponents by an average of 3.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Brooklyn has been defeated by an average of 1.4 points.