The Browns (-11) are set to host the Miami Dolphins at FirstEnergy Stadium. FOX will broadcast the action and the opening kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.
Week 12 Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns vs. Miami Dolphins
This Sunday AFC pairing shows the Dolphins as a big dogs and they’re currently getting 11 points. The Dolphins are also receiving +375 moneyline odds while the Browns are -550. If one squad can catch a lucky break early it’ll produce a nice in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 44 points.
The early action has shifted toward both the Browns and the under. The opening line was originally placed at -9 while the game’s O/U was initially 45.
The Dolphins are 5-5 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.1 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 4-6.
The Browns have lost 2.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-6-1 ATS and also have an O/U record of 4-6.
The Dolphins have gone 2-8 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Browns are 4-6 SU.
The Dolphins will look to get back on track after a 37-20 defeat to Buffalo in Week 11. The passing attack was on point as Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 32 passes on 45 attempts for 323 yards. As a team, the Dolphins rushed for just 23 yards in the loss.
Cleveland just picked up a 21-7 win over Pittsburgh in Week 11. Baker Mayfield completed 17-of-32 passes for 193 yards and two touchdowns. Nick Chubb (92 yards on 27 rush attempts) handled the running game while Hunt (six receptions, 46 yards) and Odell Beckham Jr. (four catches, 60 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.
Miami has run the ball on 35.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Cleveland has a rush percentage of 41.9 percent. The Dolphins have produced 60.3 rush yards per game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Browns are totaling 121.9 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Browns ought to hold an edge when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has given up only 26 sacks while the D-line has logged 30 sacks. The Dolphins offensive line has allowed 42 sacks and their defense has forced only 13 sacks.
The Dolphins offensive scheme has tallied 225.4 yards per game through the air overall and has nine passing scores so far. The Browns have produced 241.4 pass yards per game and have 11 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Miami has allowed 148.3 rush yards and 254.5 pass yards per game. The Cleveland D has allowed 237.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 127.2 yards per game on the ground. The Browns are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.97 to opposing QBs, while the Dolphins have given up an 8.08 ANY/A.
Mayfield has completed 176-of-303 passes for 2,156 yards, nine TDs and 12 INTs for Cleveland. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 4.92 for the season and 6.71 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Fitzpatrick has amassed 1,518 passing yards this year, and has completed 139-of-220 attempts with eight passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Fitzpatrick has a 5.19 ANY/A, including 4.48 over the last two outings.
Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns Free Betting Pick
SU Winner: Browns, ATS Winner: Dolphins, O/U: Over
Betting Trends
- The Cleveland defense has sacked opposing QBs 30 times this year. Miami has produced just 13 sacks.
- The Cleveland offense has lost five fumbles this season while Miami has lost seven.
- The Dolphins offense has created four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Browns have accounted for seven such plays.
- The Miami defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while Cleveland has given up six such plays.
- The Miami offense has created zero rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Cleveland has created seven such runs.
- The Dolphins defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Browns have given up six such runs.
- As a team, Miami has averaged 2.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 2.4 over its last two.
- Cleveland has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.1 over its last two.
