The Memphis Grizzlies (19-52) and the Charlotte Hornets (31-41) go head-to-head at Spectrum Center. The Grizzlies are 12-point underdogs and can end a 16-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 22, 2018.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Charlotte Hornets ATS Odds
In their last matchup, the Hornets defeated the Brooklyn Nets, 111-105, while the Grizzlies lost to the Philadelphia 76ers, 119-105.
Charlotte played a nearly flawless game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.383 (above their season average of 0.229) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 39.0 (above their season average of 21.9). For those same stats, Brooklyn was 0.151 and 18.2, respectively. Memphis, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.6 (above their season average of 22.3). Charlotte rallied around Dwight Howard, who finished with 32 points and 30 rebounds. Deyonta Davis fueled Memphis with 16 points and 11 rebounds.
The physical Charlotte offense might be living from the foul line in this contest. The Hornets rank second in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.231, while Memphis is among the league’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 30th-ranked FTA rate of 0.262).
Vegas is known to set the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 39 of their 70 games have ended under the O/U total. Memphis comes into the game with records of 19-52 straight up (SU) and 29-38-3 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Memphis, Hornets games have a slight tendency to go over the total (50.7 percent). Further, Charlotte is 31-41 SU and 28-39-4 ATS.
JaMychal Green has been exceptional as of late for Memphis, averaging 12.2 points, 10.8 rebounds and 1.2 steals over the last five games.
In their first matchup this year, Kemba Walker led the Hornets to a 104-99 win. He scored a game-high 27 points. The two teams combined to score 203 points, which was over the projected point total of 195, and Charlotte covered as a 6-point underdog. Charlotte had a better effective field goal percentage (0.455 vs. 0.387). Memphis, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (6.1 vs. 9.8).
Memphis Grizzlies at Charlotte Hornets Betting Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Grizzlies are 25th in the NBA with 21.5 assists per game while the Hornets are 28th with 21.3 assists per game.
- Charlotte ranks fourth in rebounds per game (45.2) while Memphis ranks 28th (40.7).
- The Hornets rank second in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Grizzlies rank 18th (8.0).
- Memphis ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.5) while Charlotte ranks 17th (45.0).
- Charlotte ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.4) while Memphis ranks eighth (11.5).
- The Hornets rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (10.3) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (14.0).
- The Grizzlies rank 11th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Hornets rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
- Charlotte ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while Memphis ranks 19th (17.2).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Memphis is 12-11 and Charlotte is 10-3.
- The Hornets are 30-19 when they score above 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 14-22.
- Charlotte is 16-19-1 ATS at home, while Memphis is 14-17-2 ATS on the road.
- In 33 road games, the Grizzlies have 17 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
- In 36 home games, the Hornets have 19 overs and 17 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Memphis and Charlotte are both 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 5.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 110.0 points per game (2.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.6 points per game (6.7 above their season average).
