Memphis Grizzlies at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Prediction 12/01/19

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The Memphis Grizzlies (5-13) visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-8). The Grizzlies are 8.5-point underdogs and will try to snap their six-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 231 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 1, 2019.

Memphis Grizzlies at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Odds

The Timberwolves will look to maintain momentum after defeating the San Antonio Spurs in their last outing, 113-101, as 3-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, were defeated by the Utah Jazz, 103-94, and were unable to cover as 7-point underdogs. The Minnesota game went 15.5 points under the projected point total of 229.5, while the Memphis game went 26.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5.

Minnesota dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.247 (above their season average of 0.209) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.541 (above their season average of 0.508). San Antonio had marks of 0.144 and 0.448, respectively, for those same stats. Memphis, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.8 vs. 21.6). Minnesota’s Karl-Anthony Towns had a good outing, putting up 23 points, 14 rebounds and six assists. Jonas Valanciunas fueled Memphis with 22 points and 17 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Dillon Brooks led the Grizzlies to a 137-121 win. He scored a game-high 31 points. The two teams combined to put up 258 points, which was well over the projected point total of 224.5, and Memphis covered as a 3.5-point underdog. Memphis was successful at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Grizzlies made 25 of their 30 free throws (83.3 percent), while the Timberwolves were 19-26 (73.1 percent).

Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 10 of their 18 games have gone under the total. Memphis holds records of 5-13 straight up (SU) and 7-11 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Memphis, games featuring the Timberwolves tend to finish over the projected point total (55.6 percent). Further, Minnesota is 10-8 SU and 9-8-1 ATS.

The aggressive Minnesota offense might be living from the foul line in this matchup. The Timberwolves currently rank ninth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.211, while Memphis ranks 20th in FTA rate allowed (0.215).

Memphis Grizzlies at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Timberwolves rank 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9) while the Grizzlies rank last (21.2).
  • Memphis ranks third in fast break points per game (16.7) while Minnesota ranks 28th (9.6).
  • The Timberwolves rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.7) while the Grizzlies rank 23rd (35.5).
  • Memphis averages 54.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the league. Minnesota ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.0).
  • Memphis ranks third in assists per game (26.8) while Minnesota ranks 18th (23.8).
  • The Timberwolves rank second in blocks per game (6.6) while the Grizzlies rank 24th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).
  • The Timberwolves average 8.4 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Grizzlies rank 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.3).
  • Memphis ranks 13th in rebounds per game (45.7) while Minnesota ranks 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.9).
  • Minnesota ranks ninth in second chance points per game (14.1) while Memphis ranks 29th in second chance points allowed per game (15.0).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Minnesota is 1-0.
  • The Grizzlies are 5-9 when they reach the century mark, while the Timberwolves are 10-4.
  • Memphis is 2-4 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 2-6-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 5 of the Timberwolves’ 9 home games, while 3 of the Grizzlies’ 6 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Timberwolves are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Minnesota has 4 unders and 1 over, while Memphis has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 108.6 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.8 points per game (10.6 below their season average).
  • The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.6, down from 8.7 for the season.